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相关论文: Jump detection in financial asset prices that exhi…

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Predicting the intraday stock jumps is a significant but challenging problem in finance. Due to the instantaneity and imperceptibility characteristics of intraday stock jumps, relevant studies on their predictability remain limited. This…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-12-17 Ao Kong , Hongliang Zhu , Robert Azencott

This paper shows that jumps in financial asset prices are often erroneously identified and are, in fact, rare events accounting for a very small proportion of the total price variation. We apply new econometric techniques to a comprehensive…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-12 Kim Christensen , Roel C. A. Oomen , Mark Podolskij

We propose methods to infer jumps of a semi-martingale, which describes long-term price dynamics, based on discrete, noisy, high-frequency observations. Different to the classical model of additive, centered market microstructure noise, we…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-18 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Alexander Ristig

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as semimartingales, with drift, diffusion and jump components. The jump activity index measures the strength of the jumps at high frequencies, and is of interest both in model selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-13 Adam D. Bull

We use the expectation of the range of an arithmetic Brownian motion and the method of moments on the daily high, low, opening and closing prices to estimate the volatility of the stock price. The daily price jump at the opening is…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-12-21 Cristin Buescu , Michael Taksar , Fatoumata J. Koné

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

Recently a considerable interest has been paid on the estimation problem of the realized volatility and covolatility by using high-frequency data of financial price processes in financial econometrics. Threshold estimation is one of the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-01 Hacène Djellout , Hui Jiang

Identifying the instances of jumps in a discrete-time-series sample of a jump diffusion model is a challenging task. We have developed a novel statistical technique for jump detection and volatility estimation in a return time series data…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-03-22 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani

We consider a process $X_t$, which is observed on a finite time interval $[0,T]$, at discrete times $0,\Delta_n,2\Delta_n,\ldots.$ This process is an It\^{o} semimartingale with stochastic volatility $\sigma_t^2$. Assuming that $X$ has…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-10-26 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

We study the problem of option replication under constant proportional transaction costs in models where stochastic volatility and jumps are combined to capture the market's important features. Assuming some mild condition on the jump size…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-12 Thai Huu Nguyen , Serguei Pergamenschchikov

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We assume that noisy high-frequency data from a discretely…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Mark Podolskij

Studying the micro-trading behaviors before stock price jumps is an important problem for financial regulations and investment decisions. In this study, we provide a new framework to study pre-jump trading behaviors based on multivariate…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-01 Ao Kong , Robert Azencott , Hongliang Zhu , Xindan Li

This paper models stochastic process of price time series of CSI 300 index in Chinese financial market, analyzes volatility characteristics of intraday high-frequency price data. In the new generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-19 Xianfei Hui , Baiqing Sun , Indranil SenGupta , Yan Zhou , Hui Jiang

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

This article investigates discrete-time approximations of stochastic integrals driven by semimartingales with jumps via weighted bounded mean oscillation (BMO) approach. This approach enables $L_p$-estimates, $p \in (2, \infty)$, for the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Nguyen Tran Thuan

In this paper, we obtain the existence, uniqueness and positivity of the solution to delayed stochastic differential equations with jumps. This equation is then applied to model the price movement of the risky asset in a financial market…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-28 Nishant Agrawal , Yaozhong Hu

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko
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