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In this paper,we consider a macro approximation of the flow of a risk reserve, The process is observed at discrete time points. Because we cannot directly observe each jump time and size then we will make use of a technique for identifying…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-22 Chunhao Cai , Junyi Guo , Honglong You

This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala

The problem of covariance estimation for replicated surface-valued processes is examined from the functional data analysis perspective. Considerations of statistical and computational efficiency often compel the use of separability of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-25 Tomas Masak , Victor M. Panaretos

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-29 Teppei Ogihara

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

We present a nonparametric family of estimators for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution when covariate information is available. Our estimators are based on a weighted sum of the log-spacings between some selected observations.…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-04-06 L. Gardes , S. Girard

Cascades of Poisson processes are probabilistic models for spatio-temporal phenomena in which (i) previous events may trigger subsequent events, and (ii) both the background and triggering processes are conditionally Poisson. Such phenomena…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-07-14 Chris. J. Oates

We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-10 Rajesh Ranganath , David Blei

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

The main results in this paper concern large deviations for families of non-Gaussian processes obtained as suitable perturbations of continuous centered multivariate Gaussian processes which satisfy a large deviation principle. We present…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-06 C. Macci , B. Pacchiarotti

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-12 Olena Dehtiar , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

Asymptotic equivalence theory developed in the literature so far are only for bounded loss functions. This limits the potential applications of the theory because many commonly used loss functions in statistical inference are unbounded. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-03 T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-21 Shifei Luo

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

We propose a nonparametric estimation for a class of fractional stochastic differential equations (FSDE) with random effects. We precisely consider general linear fractional stochastic differential equations with drift depending on random…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-18 M. El Omari , H. El Maroufy , C. Fuchs

We propose a contrast-based estimation method for Gaussian processes with time-inhomogeneous drifts, observed under high-frequency sampling. The process is modeled as the sum of a deterministic drift function and a stationary Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-07 Yasutaka Shimizu

Within the nonparametric diffusion model, we develop a multiple test to infer about similarity of an unknown drift $b$ to some reference drift $b_0$: At prescribed significance, we simultaneously identify those regions where violation from…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-17 Johannes Brutsche , Angelika Rohde