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The paper overviews and investigates several nonparametric methods of estimating covariograms. It provides a unified approach and notation to compare the main approaches used in applied research. The primary focus is on methods that utilise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Adam Bilchouris , Andriy Olenko

In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric regression estimator by using a hybrid technique of a parametric approach and a nonparametric penalized spline method. The overall shape of the true regression function is captured by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-17 Takuma Yoshida , Kanta Naito

Gaussian processes that can be decomposed into a smooth mean function and a stationary autocorrelated noise process are considered and a fully automatic nonparametric method to simultaneous estimation of mean and auto-covariance functions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-19 Tatyana Krivobokova , Paulo Serra , Francisco Rosales , Karolina Klockmann

The purpose of this paper is to prove new fine regularity results for nonlocal drift-diffusion equations via pointwise potential estimates. Our analysis requires only minimal assumptions on the divergence free drift term, enabling us to…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2023-11-28 Quoc-Hung Nguyen , Simon Nowak , Yannick Sire , Marvin Weidner

Split conformal prediction has recently sparked great interest due to its ability to provide formally guaranteed uncertainty sets or intervals for predictions made by black-box neural models, ensuring a predefined probability of containing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-29 António Farinhas , Chrysoula Zerva , Dennis Ulmer , André F. T. Martins

Trawl processes belong to the class of continuous-time, strictly stationary, infinitely divisible processes; they are defined as Levy bases evaluated over deterministic trawl sets. This article presents the first nonparametric estimator of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-17 Orimar Sauri , Almut E. D. Veraart

Nonparametric estimators of a regression function with circular response and Rd-valued predictor are considered in this work. Local polynomial type estimators are proposed and studied. Expressions for their asymptotic biases and variances…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Andrea Meilán-Vila , Mario Francisco-Fernández , Rosa M. Crujeiras , Agnese Panzera

We discuss nonparametric estimation of the trend coefficient in models governed by a stochastic differential equation driven by a multiplicative stochastic volatility.

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-12 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Nonparametric Bayesian models are used routinely as flexible and powerful models of complex data. Many times, a statistician may have additional informative beliefs about data distribution of interest, e.g., its mean or subset components,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Bingjing Tang , Vinayak Rao

This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the drift function of a jump diffusion process $X$ computed from multiple independent copies of $X$ observed on $[0,T]$. Risk bounds are established on this estimator and on an…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-19 Hélène Halconruy , Nicolas Marie

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility function of a stochastic differential equation driven by a gamma process. The volatility function is modelled a priori as piecewise constant, and we specify a gamma…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-18 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

This paper investigates the nonparametric estimation of a circular regression function in an errors-in-variables framework. Two settings are studied, depending on whether the covariates are circular or linear. Adaptive estimators are…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-27 Tien Dat Nguyen , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

Given a sample from a discretely observed multidimensional compound Poisson process, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of its jump size density $r_0$ and intensity $\lambda_0$. We take a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-08 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

This paper examines nonparametric regression with an exogenous threshold variable, allowing for an unknown number of thresholds. Given the number of thresholds and corresponding threshold values, we first establish the asymptotic properties…

经济学 · 定量金融 2018-02-26 Yan-Yu Chiou , Mei-Yuan Chen , Jau-er Chen

We develop a multi-level restricted Gaussian maximum likelihood method for estimating the covariance function parameters and computing the best unbiased predictor. Our approach produces a new set of multi-level contrasts where the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-29 Julio E. Castrillon-Candas , Marc G. Genton , Rio Yokota

Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Sinead Williamson

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen