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The paper proposes a new aggregation method, based on the Arnoldi iteration, for computing approximate transient distributions of Markov chains. This aggregation is not partition-based, which means that an aggregate state may represent any…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-05 Patrick Sonnentag , Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

We study the approximation of a Markov chain on a reduced state space, for both discrete- and continuous-time Markov chains. In this context, we extend the existing theory of formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-12 Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

We consider the problem of estimating the measure of subsets in very large networks. A prime tool for this purpose is the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. This algorithm, while extremely useful in many cases, still often suffers…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Ahmad Askarian , Rupei Xu , András Faragó

A fundamental problem when aggregating Markov chains is the specification of the number of state groups. Too few state groups may fail to sufficiently capture the pertinent dynamics of the original, high-order Markov chain. Too many state…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Isaac J. Sledge , Jose C. Principe

We develop exact simulation (also known as perfect sampling) algorithms for a family of assemble-to-order systems. Due to the finite capacity, and coupling in demands and replenishments, known solving techniques are inefficient for larger…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-24 Ana Bušić , Emilie Coupechoux

Markov chain methods are remarkably successful in computational physics, machine learning, and combinatorial optimization. The cost of such methods often reduces to the mixing time, i.e., the time required to reach the steady state of the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-11-15 Davide Orsucci , Hans J. Briegel , Vedran Dunjko

Exact approximations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a general emerging class of sampling algorithms. One of the main ideas behind exact approximations consists of replacing intractable quantities required to run standard…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-30 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

This paper develops a low-nonnegative-rank approximation method to identify the state aggregation structure of a finite-state Markov chain under an assumption that the state space can be mapped into a handful of meta-states. The number of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-10-16 Yaqi Duan , Mengdi Wang , Zaiwen Wen , Yaxiang Yuan

The problem of sampling from the stationary distribution of a Markov chain finds widespread applications in a variety of fields. The time required for a Markov chain to converge to its stationary distribution is known as the classical…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Shantanav Chakraborty , Kyle Luh , Jérémie Roland

Many applications in the field of statistics require Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Determining appropriate starting values and run lengths can be both analytically and empirically challenging. A desire to overcome these problems has led…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-09 James M. Flegal , Radu Herbei

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

The approximate uniform sampling of graph realizations with a given degree sequence is an everyday task in several social science, computer science, engineering etc. projects. One approach is using Markov chains. The best available current…

组合数学 · 数学 2024-01-09 Péter L. Erdős , Tamás Róbert Mezei , István Miklós

We consider state-aggregation schemes for Markov chains from an information-theoretic perspective. Specifically, we consider aggregating the states of a Markov chain such that the mutual information of the aggregated states separated by T…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-23 Mauro Faccin , Michael T. Schaub , Jean-Charles Delvenne

We show that efficient approximate sampling algorithms, combined with a slow exponential time oracle for computing its output distribution, can be combined into constructing efficient perfect samplers, which sample exactly from a target…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2024-12-09 Andreas Göbel , Jingcheng Liu , Pasin Manurangsi , Marcus Pappik

Approximating the stationary probability of a state in a Markov chain through Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques is, in general, inefficient. Standard random walk approaches require $\tilde{O}(\tau/\pi(v))$ operations to approximate the…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Marco Bressan , Enoch Peserico , Luca Pretto

Many studies involving large Markov chains require determining a smaller representative (aggregated) chains. Each {\em superstate} in the representative chain represents a {\em group of related} states in the original Markov chain.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-19 Amber Srivastava , Raj K. Velicheti , Srinivasa M. Salapaka

It has become increasingly easy nowadays to collect approximate posterior samples via fast algorithms such as variational Bayes, but concerns exist about the estimation accuracy. It is tempting to build solutions that exploit approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-06-17 Leo L. Duan , Anirban Bhattacharya

This paper surveys various results about Markov chains on general (non-countable) state spaces. It begins with an introduction to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which provide the motivation and context for the theory which…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal
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