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In this paper, we present a novel iterative Monte Carlo method for approximating the stationary probability of a single state of a positive recurrent Markov chain. We utilize the characterization that the stationary probability of a state…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-12-11 Christina E. Lee , Asuman Ozdaglar , Devavrat Shah

The use of heuristics to assess the convergence and compress the output of Markov chain Monte Carlo can be sub-optimal in terms of the empirical approximations that are produced. Typically a number of the initial states are attributed to…

Markov chains are a common framework for individual-based state and time discrete models in ecology and evolution. Their use, however, is largely limited to systems with a low number of states, since the transition matrices involved pose…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-07-10 Katja Reichel , Valentin Bahier , Cédric Midoux , Jean-Pierre Masson , Solenn Stoeckel

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

An algorithm for estimating quasi-stationary distribution of finite state space Markov chains has been proven in a previous paper. Now this paper proves a similar algorithm that works for general state space Markov chains under very general…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-04 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

We construct a new framework for accelerating Markov chain Monte Carlo in posterior sampling problems where standard methods are limited by the computational cost of the likelihood, or of numerical models embedded therein. Our approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-06 Patrick R. Conrad , Youssef M. Marzouk , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Value iteration is a well-known method of solving Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) that is simple to implement and boasts strong theoretical convergence guarantees. However, the computational cost of value iteration quickly becomes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-26 Guanting Chen , Johann Demetrio Gaebler , Matt Peng , Chunlin Sun , Yinyu Ye

Perfect sampling is a technique that uses coupling arguments to provide a sample from the stationary distribution of a Markov chain in a finite time without ever computing the distribution. This technique is very efficient if all the events…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2015-03-17 Ana Bušić , Bruno Gaujal , Furcy Pin

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

If the state space of a homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain is too large, making inferences - here limited to determining marginal or limit expectations - becomes computationally infeasible. Fortunately, the state space of such a chain…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-01 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

We propose polynomial-time algorithms to minimise labelled Markov chains whose transition probabilities are not known exactly, have been perturbed, or can only be obtained by sampling. Our algorithms are based on a new notion of an…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2021-10-04 Stefan Kiefer , Qiyi Tang

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is at the heart of efficient approximation schemes for a wide range of problems in combinatorial enumeration and statistical physics. It is therefore very natural and important to determine whether…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Pawel Wocjan , Anura Abeyesinghe

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are often used for approximate inference inside learning, but their slow mixing can be difficult to diagnose and the approximations can seriously degrade learning. To alleviate these issues, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-02-25 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

In this paper, we consider the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach for random sampling of combinatorial objects. The running time of such an algorithm depends on the total mixing time of the underlying Markov chain and is unknown in…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2016-09-15 Steffen Rechner , Annabell Berger

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are invaluable tools for exploring stationary properties of physical systems, especially in situations where direct sampling is unfeasible. Common implementations of Monte Carlo algorithms employ…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-04-27 Marija Vucelja

We introduce a framework to approximate a Markov Decision Process that stands on two pillars: state aggregation -- as the algorithmic infrastructure; and central-limit-theorem-type approximations -- as the mathematical underpinning of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-04-13 Amy B. Z. Zhang , Itai Gurvich

State aggregation is a popular model reduction method rooted in optimal control. It reduces the complexity of engineering systems by mapping the system's states into a small number of meta-states. The choice of aggregation map often depends…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-17 Yaqi Duan , Zheng Tracy Ke , Mengdi Wang

Motivated by techniques developed in recent progress on lower bounds for sublinear time algorithms (Behnezhad, Roghani and Rubinstein, STOC 2023, FOCS 2023, and STOC 2024) we introduce and study a new class of randomized algorithmic…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Amir Azarmehr , Soheil Behnezhad , Alma Ghafari , Madhu Sudan

Massive sizes of real-world graphs, such as social networks and web graph, impose serious challenges to process and perform analytics on them. These issues can be resolved by working on a small summary of the graph instead . A summary is a…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-06-12 Maham Anwar Beg , Muhammad Ahmad , Arif Zaman , Imdadullah Khan