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We consider the problem of estimation of the drift parameter of an ergodic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'evy process with heavy tails. The process is observed continuously on a long time interval $[0,T]$, $T\to\infty$. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-27 Alexander Gushchin , Ilya Pavlyukevich , Marian Ritsch

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

Empirical Bayes estimators are based on minimizing the average risk with the hyper-parameters in the weighting function being estimated from observed data. The performance of an empirical Bayes estimator is typically evaluated by its mean…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

We derive an equation to compute directly the expected occupation time of the centered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This allows us to identify the parameters of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for available occupation times via a standard…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-05-30 Wolfgang Bock , Thomas Götz , Martin Grothaus , Uditha Prabhath Liyanage

We consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a stochastic process widely used in finance, physics, and biology. Parameter estimation of the OU process is a challenging problem. Thus, we review traditional tracking methods and compare…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-24 Jacob Fein-Ashley

In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-12 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov

This paper studies subordinate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes, i.e., OU diffusions time changed by L\'{e}vy subordinators. We construct their sample path decomposition, show that they possess mean-reverting jumps, study their equivalent…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-04-18 Lingfei Li , Vadim Linetsky

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

We study sparsity-regularized maximum likelihood estimation for the drift parameter of high-dimensional non-stationary Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes given repeated measurements of i.i.d. paths. In particular, we show that Lasso and Slope…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-29 Shogo Nakakita

We establish large deviation principles for the couple of the maximum likelihood estimators of dimensional and drift coefficients in the generalised squared radial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We focus our attention to the most tractable…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-28 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

We investigate the problem of estimating the drift parameter of a high-dimensional L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process under sparsity constraints. It is shown that both Lasso and Slope estimators achieve the minimax optimal rate of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-17 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

Assuming that a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck state process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate all drift and diffusion parameters via the celebrated ergodic theorem. With the sampling…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-14 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space models. The estimator combines a particle filter to generate the conditional density and the Expectation Maximization algorithm to compute…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Robert R. Bitmead

We study the problem of parameter estimation for the homogenization limit of multiscale systems involving fractional dynamics. In the case of stochastic multiscale systems driven by Brownian motion, it has been shown that in order for the…

Standard Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) models often yield biased parameter estimates when measurement error is ignored. While the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck State Space Model (OUSSM) addresses this in univariate settings, multidimensional extensions…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Shanglun Li , Toby Kenney , Hong Gu

Consider a setting with $N$ independent individuals, each with an unknown parameter, $p_i \in [0, 1]$ drawn from some unknown distribution $P^\star$. After observing the outcomes of $t$ independent Bernoulli trials, i.e., $X_i \sim…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-13 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant , Sham M. Kakade

We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for the partial sum of squares of general Gaussian sequences, using tools from analysis on Wiener space. No assumption of stationarity, asymptotically or otherwise, is made. The main…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-09 Soukaina Douissi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu