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This study aims to address the challenges of futures price prediction in high-frequency trading (HFT) by proposing a continuous learning factor predictor based on graph neural networks. The model integrates multi-factor pricing theories…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-20 Min Hu , Zhizhong Tan , Bin Liu , Guosheng Yin

In recent years, the growing frequency and severity of natural disasters have increased the need for effective tools to manage catastrophe risk. Catastrophe (CAT) bonds allow the transfer of part of this risk to investors, offering an…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-12-30 Julia Kończal , Michał Balcerek , Krzysztof Burnecki

As variable renewable energy increases and more demand is electrified, we expect price formation in wholesale electricity markets to transition from being dominated by fossil fuel generators to being dominated by the opportunity costs of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-01 Julian Geis , Fabian Neumann , Michael Lindner , Philipp Härtel , Tom Brown

Accurately forecasting the price of oil, the world's most actively traded commodity, is of great importance to both academics and practitioners. We contribute by proposing a functional time series based method to model and forecast oil…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-09 Fearghal Kearney , Han Lin Shang

The paper investigates the effect of the label green in bond markets from the lens of the trading activity. The idea is that jumps in the dynamics of returns have a specific memory nature that can be well represented through a self-exciting…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-08-24 Lorenzo Mercuri , Andrea Perchiazzo , Edit Rroji

Cryptocurrency, the most controversial and simultaneously the most interesting asset, has attracted many investors and speculators in recent years. The visibly significant market capitalization of cryptos also motivates modern financial…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-10 Junjie Hu , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Weiyu Kuo

This paper presents a model based on multilayer feedforward neural network to forecast crude oil spot price direction in the short-term, up to three days ahead. A great deal of attention was paid on finding the optimal ANN model structure.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2009-06-29 Siddhivinayak Kulkarni , Imad Haidar

Futures market contracts with varying maturities are traded concurrently and the speed at which they process information is of value in understanding the pricing discovery process. Using price discovery measures, including Putnins (2013)…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2017-11-10 Zhepeng Hu , Mindy Mallory , Teresa Serra , Philip Garcia

Reliability Options are capacity remuneration mechanisms aimed at enhancing security of supply in electricity systems. They can be framed as call options on electricity sold by power producers to System Operators. This paper provides a…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-09-13 Luisa Andreis , Maria Flora , Fulvio Fontini , Tiziano Vargiolu

The paper analyzes the cryptocurrency ecosystem at both the aggregate and individual levels to understand the factors that impact future volatility. The study uses high-frequency panel data from 2020 to 2022 to examine the relationship…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-09 Alessio Brini , Jimmie Lenz

Electricity markets are under increasing pressure to maintain reliability amidst rising renewable penetration, demand variability, and occasional price shocks. Traditional capacity market designs often fall short in addressing this by…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-16 Millend Roy , Agostino Capponi , Vladimir Pyltsov , Yinbo Hu , Vijay Modi

In European day-ahead electricity markets, carbon allowance costs passed through by marginal fossil plants raise consumer expenditure and generate inframarginal rents for non-emitting generators. We propose a settlement modification: when…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-30 Simon Finster , Bernhard Kasberger , Simon Rütten

We study the pricing of European-style options written on forward contracts within function-valued infinite-dimensional affine stochastic volatility models. The dynamics of the underlying forward price curves are modeled within the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-14 Jian He , Sven Karbach , Asma Khedher

The voluntary carbon market is an important building block in the fight against climate change. However, it is not trivial for consumers to verify whether carbon offset projects deliver what they promise. While technical solutions for…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Klaudia Guzij , Michael Fröhlich , Florian Fincke , Albrecht Schmidt , Florian Alt

The presence of variable renewable energy resources with uncertain outputs in day-ahead electricity markets results in additional balancing needs in real-time. Addressing those needs cost-effectively and reliably within a competitive market…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-23 Elina Spyrou , Qiwei Zhang , Robin B. Hytowitz , Ben F. Hobbs , Siddharth Tyagi , Mengmeng Cai , Michael Blonsky

The integration of renewable energy resources (RES) in the power grid can reduce carbon intensity, but also presents certain challenges. The uncertainty and intermittent nature of RES emphasize the need for flexibility in power systems.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-18 Shijie Pan , Gerrit Rolofs , Luca Pontecorvi , Charalambos Konstantinou

Most of the empirical studies on stochastic volatility dynamics favor the 3/2 specification over the square-root (CIR) process in the Heston model. In the context of option pricing, the 3/2 stochastic volatility model is reported to be able…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-05-01 Wendong Zheng , Pingping Zeng

Mobile edge computing (MEC) has emerged as one of the key technical aspects of the fifth-generation (5G) networks. The integration of MEC with resource-constrained unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) could enable flexible resource provisioning…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Minghui Liwang , Zhibin Gao , Xianbin Wang

In the Paris agreement of 2015, it was decided to reduce the CO2 emissions of the energy sector to zero by 2050 and to restrict the global mean temperature increase to 1.5 degree Celcius above the pre-industrial level. Such commitments are…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-03 Neeraj Bokde , Bo Tranberg , Gorm Bruun Andresen

We consider the problem of reducing the carbon emissions of a set of firms over a finite horizon. A regulator dynamically allocates emission allowances to each firm. Firms face idiosyncratic as well as common economic shocks on emissions,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-25 René Aïd , Sara Biagini