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In this study, we generalize a problem of sampling a scalar Gauss Markov Process, namely, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, where the samples are sent to a remote estimator and the estimator makes a causal estimate of the observed…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-02-14 Tasmeen Zaman Ornee , Yin Sun

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

We study the joint asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the parameter $(\theta,\,\mu)$ for the non-ergodic Vasicek models driven by seven specific Gaussian processes. %The similar result concerning to the non-ergodic…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-03 Yong Chen , Wu-Jun Gao , Ying Li

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

In this article we consider the development of unbiased estimators of the Hessian, of the log-likelihood function with respect to parameters, for partially observed diffusion processes. These processes arise in numerous applications, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu

We propose a class of estimators for the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. We show that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under mild conditions. The quasi-maximum likelihood and the likelihood estimators are…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

We propose a quasi-Bayesian method to conduct inference for the production frontier. This approach combines multiple first-stage extreme quantile estimates by the quasi-Bayesian method to produce the point estimate and confidence interval…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-01 Xiaobin Liu , Thomas Tao Yang , Yichong Zhang

In gravitational wave astronomy, non-Gaussian noise, such as scattered light noise disturbs stable interferometer operation, limiting the interferometer's sensitivity, and reducing the reliability of the analyses. In scattered light noise,…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-03-20 Shunsei Yamamura , Hirotaka Yuzurihara , Takahiro Yamamoto , Takashi Uchiyama

Latent variable models are widely used to account for unobserved determinants of economic behavior. This paper introduces a quasi-Bayes approach to nonparametrically estimate a large class of latent variable models. As an application, we…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-12 Sid Kankanala

The purpose of the present work is to construct estimators for the random effects in a fractional diffusion model using a hybrid estimation method where we combine parametric and nonparametric thechniques. We precisely consider $n$…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-13 Nesrine Chebli , Hamdi Fathallah , Yousri Slaoui

In this paper, we derive tail approximations of integrals of exponential functions of Gaussian random fields with varying mean functions and approximations of the associated point processes. This study is motivated naturally by multiple…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-12-05 Jingchen Liu , Gongjun Xu

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

We consider the Riemannian random wave model of Gaussian linear combinations of Laplace eigenfunctions on a general compact Riemannian manifold. With probability one with respect to the Gaussian coefficients, we establish that, both for…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-08 Louis Gass

We consider the problem of estimation of a shift parameter of an unknown symmetric function in Gaussian white noise. We introduce a notion of semiparametric second-order efficiency and propose estimators that are semiparametrically…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 A. S. Dalalyan , G. K. Golubev , A. B. Tsybakov

Diffusion models for continuous state spaces based on Gaussian noising processes are now relatively well understood from both practical and theoretical perspectives. In contrast, results for diffusion models on discrete state spaces remain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus , Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Gael Raoul

We develop a non-linear semi-parametric Gaussian process model to estimate periods of Miras with sparsely-sampled light curves. The model uses a sinusoidal basis for the periodic variation and a Gaussian process for the stochastic changes.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-11-18 Shiyuan He , Wenlong Yuan , Jianhua Z. Huang , James Long , Lucas M. Macri

Motivated by better modeling of intra-individual variability in longitudinal data, we propose a class of location-scale mixed effects models, in which the data of each individual is modeled by a parameter-varying generalized hyperbolic…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-13 Yuki Fujinaga , Hiroki Masuda

In non-equilibrium states, currents are produced by irreversible processes that take a system toward the equilibrium state, where the current vanishes. We demonstrate, in a general setting, that a superstatistics arises when the system…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Mohammad Mehrafarin

In this paper, we seek to establish asymptotic results for selective inference procedures removing the assumption of Gaussianity. The class of selection procedures we consider are determined by affine inequalities, which we refer to as…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-05 Xiaoying Tian , Jonathan Taylor