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In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

In this paper we study the asymptotic properties of Bayesian multiple testing procedures for a large class of Gaussian scale mixture pri- ors. We study two types of multiple testing risks: a Bayesian risk proposed in Bogdan et al. (2011)…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-27 Jean-Bernard Salomond

The article considers semi-supervised multitask learning on a Gaussian mixture model (GMM). Using methods from statistical physics, we compute the asymptotic Bayes risk of each task in the regime of large datasets in high dimension, from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Minh-Toan Nguyen , Romain Couillet

The objective of the paper is to identify and investigate all possible types of asymptotic behavior for the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters in the second-order linear stochastic ordinary differential equation driven…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-08 Ning Lin , Sergey V. Lototsky

We establish that a non-Gaussian nonparametric regression model is asymptotically equivalent to a regression model with Gaussian noise. The approximation is in the sense of Le Cam's deficiency distance $\Delta $; the models are then…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-20 Ion Grama , Michael Nussbaum

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects across individuals has attracted growing attention as a statistical tool for performing critical decision-making. We propose a Bayesian inference framework that quantifies the uncertainty in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Shunsuke Horii , Yoichi Chikahara

The paper studies asymptotic behavior of the loss probability for the $GI/M/m/n$ queueing system as $n$ increases to infinity. The approach of the paper is based on applications of classic results of Tak\'acs (1967) and the Tauberian…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-30 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

This paper introduces a quasi-likelihood ratio testing procedure for diffusion processes observed under nonsynchronous sampling schemes. High-frequency data, particularly in financial econometrics, are often recorded at irregular time…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Teppei Ogihara , Futo Ueno

Multi-task learning models using Gaussian processes (GP) have been developed and successfully applied in various applications. The main difficulty with this approach is the computational cost of inference using the union of examples from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-11-29 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon

The basic model for high-frequency data in finance is considered, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is shown that this nonparametric model is in Le Cam's sense asymptotically equivalent to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-25 Markus Reiß

We consider the problem of parametric statistical inference when likelihood computations are prohibitively expensive but sampling from the model is possible. Several so-called likelihood-free methods have been developed to perform inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-14 Owen Thomas , Ritabrata Dutta , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Michael U. Gutmann

The recently proposed statistical finite element (statFEM) approach synthesises measurement data with finite element models and allows for making predictions about the unknown true system response. We provide a probabilistic error analysis…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-17 Toni Karvonen , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami

This paper establishes the global asymptotic equivalence between a Poisson process with variable intensity and white noise with drift under sharp smoothness conditions on the unknown function. This equivalence is also extended to density…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Lawrence D. Brown , Andrew V. Carter , Mark G. Low , Cun-Hui Zhang

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

We introduce a method for testing quantum correlations in terms of quasiprobability functions in the presence of noise. We analyze the effects of measurement imperfection and thermal environment on quantum correlations and show that their…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-07-09 Seung-Woo Lee , Jaewan Kim , Wonmin Son

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-27 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer

Shot noise processes have been extensively studied due to their mathematical properties and their relevance in several applications. Here, we consider nonnegative shot noise processes and prove their weak convergence to L\'evy-driven…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-24 Massimiliano Tamborrino , Petr Lansky