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In this article we introduce a quasiprobability distribution of work that is based on the Wigner function. This construction rests on the idea that the work done on an isolated system can be coherently measured by coupling the system to a…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-11-03 Federico Cerisola , Franco Mayo , Augusto J. Roncaglia

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a method for finding the root of an operator perturbed by noise. There is a rich literature establishing the asymptotic normality of rescaled SA iterates under fairly mild conditions. However, these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Shaan Ul Haque , Zedong Wang , Zixuan Zhang , Siva Theja Maguluri

This paper concerns the approximation of probability measures on $\mathbf{R}^d$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Given an admissible target measure, we show the existence of the best approximation, with respect to this…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-26 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a general one-dimensional centered Gaussian process $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$. The second order mixed partial derivative of the covariance function $ R(t,\,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-25 Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

Motivated by estimating the lead-lag relationships in high-frequency financial data, we propose noisy bivariate Neyman-Scott point processes with gamma kernels (NBNSP-G). NBNSP-G tolerates noises that are not necessarily Poissonian and has…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Takaaki Shiotani , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper investigates the (conditional) quasi-likelihood ratio test for the threshold in MA models. Under the hypothesis of no threshold, it is shown that the test statistic converges weakly to a function of the centred Gaussian process.…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Shiqing Ling , Howell Tong

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

For model-specification purpose, we study asymptotic behavior of the marginal quasi-log likelihood associated with a family of locally asymptotically quadratic (LAQ) statistical experiments. Our result entails a far-reaching extension of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-26 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

Berliner (Likelihood and Bayesian prediction for chaotic systems, J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 1991) identified a number of difficulties in using the likelihood function within the Bayesian paradigm which arise both for state estimation and for…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-12-30 Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-25 Claudia Kirch , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer , Yifu Tang

In the present paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the auto-covariance function for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes driven by Gaussian noises with stationary and non-stationary increments and for Hermite OU processes. Our results…

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-19 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

We focus on a linear chain of $N$ first-neighbor-coupled logistic maps at their edge of chaos in the presence of a common noise. This model, characterised by the coupling strength $\epsilon$ and the noise width $\sigma_{max}$, was recently…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-03-31 Ugur Tirnakli , Constantino Tsallis

In this paper, we consider the statistical inference of the drift parameter $\theta$ of non-ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck~(O-U) process driven by a general Gaussian process $(G_t)_{t\ge 0}$. When $H \in (0, \frac 12) \cup (\frac 12,1) $ the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-28 Yanping Lu

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

Due to their flexibility, Gaussian processes (GPs) have been widely used in nonparametric function estimation. A prior information about the underlying function is often available. For instance, the physical system (computer model output)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-21 Hassan Maatouk

Using Kalman techniques, it is possible to perform optimal estimation in linear Gaussian state-space models. We address here the case where the noise probability density functions are of unknown functional form. A flexible Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-13 François Caron , Manuel Davy , Arnaud Doucet , Emmanuel Duflos , Philippe Vanheeghe

This paper considers the problem of robust adaptive efficient estimating of a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with the dependent noises given by a general square integrable semimartingale with a conditionally…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We show that nonparametric regression is asymptotically equivalent in Le Cam's sense with a sequence of Gaussian white noise experiments as the number of observations tends to infinity. We propose a general constructive framework based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Markus Reiß

We prove Gaussian tail estimates for the transition probability of $n$ particles evolving as symmetric exclusion processes on $\bb Z^d$, improving results obtained in \cite{l}. We derive from this result a non-equilibrium Boltzmann-Gibbs…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 C. Landim

Non-reciprocal systems can be thought of as disobeying Newtons third law - an action does not cause an equal and opposite reaction. In recent years there has been a dramatic rise in interest towards such systems. On a fundamental level,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-12-06 Sergei Shmakov , Glasha Osipycheva , Peter B. Littlewood