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In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

In this work, we study the class of stochastic process that generalizes the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, hereafter called by \emph{Generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Type Process} and denoted by GOU type process. We consider them driven by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-17 J. Stein , S. R. C. Lopes , A. V. Medino

Near-Gaussian probability densities are common in many important physical applications. Here we develop an asymptotic expansion methodology for computing entropic functionals for such densities. The expansion proposed is a close relative of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-29 Gordon V. Chavez , Richard Kleeman

This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-21 Kengo Kato

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala

The results of a series of theoretical studies are reported, examining the convergence rate for different approximate representations of $\alpha$-stable distributions. Although they play a key role in modelling random processes with jumps…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-03 Marina Riabiz , Tohid Ardeshiri , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

The first purpose of this article is to obtain a.s. asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in the autoregressive process driven by a stationary Gaussian noise. The second purpose is to show the local asymptotic normality…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-23 Marius Soltane

We consider parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by a Wiener process and a compound Poisson process as small noises. The goal is to give a threshold-type quasi-likelihood estimator and show its consistency and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-20 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yasutaka Shimizu

We consider adaptive maximum-likelihood-type estimators and adaptive Bayes-type ones for discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes with observation noise whose variance is constant. The quasi-likelihood functions for the diffusion and…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-03 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp

This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant

When subjected to a classical fluctuating field characterized by a Gaussian process, we examine the {purity} and coherence protection in a three-level quantum system. This symmetry of the three-level system is examined when the local random…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-11-30 Sultan Mahmood Zangi , Atta ur Rahman , ZhaoXu Ji , Hazrat Ai , HuanGuo Zhang

In this article, we study the problem of parameter estimation for a discrete Ornstein - Uhlenbeck model driven by Poisson fractional noise. Based on random walk approximation for the noise, we study least squares and maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-15 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

We consider parameter estimation in finite hidden state space Markov models with time-dependent inhomogeneous noise, where the inhomogeneity vanishes sufficiently fast. Based on the concept of asymptotic mean stationary processes we prove…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-02 Manuel Diehn , Axel Munk , Daniel Rudolf

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We prove asymptotic equivalence of nonparametric additive regression and an appropriate Gaussian white noise experiment in which a multidimensional shifted Wiener process is observed, whose dimension equals the number of additive…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Moritz Jirak , Alexander Meister , Angelika Rohde

We consider the analysis of continuous repeated measurement outcomes that are collected through time, also known as longitudinal data. A standard framework for analysing data of this kind is a linear Gaussian mixed-effects model within…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-10 Özgür Asar , David Bolin , Peter J. Diggle , Jonas Wallin