English

Parameter estimation of non-ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck

Statistics Theory 2022-07-28 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the statistical inference of the drift parameter θ\theta of non-ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck~(O-U) process driven by a general Gaussian process (Gt)t0(G_t)_{t\ge 0}. When H(0,12)(12,1)H \in (0, \frac 12) \cup (\frac 12,1) the second order mixed partial derivative of R(t,s)=E[GtGs]R (t, s) = E [G_t G_s] can be decomposed into two parts, one of which coincides with that of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), and the other of which is bounded by tsH1|ts|^{H-1}. This condition covers a large number of common Gaussian processes such as fBm, sub-fractional Brownian motion and bi-fractional Brownian motion. Under this condition, we verify that (Gt)t0(G_t)_{t\ge 0} satisfies the four assumptions in references \cite{El2016}, that is, noise has H\"{o}lder continuous path; the variance of noise is bounded by the power function; the asymptotic variance of the solution XTX_T in the case of ergodic O-U process XX exists and strictly positive as TT \to \infty; for fixed s[0,T)s \in [0,T), the noise GsG_s is asymptotically independent of the ergodic solution XTX_T as TT \to \infty, thus ensure the strong consistency and the asymptotic distribution of the estimator θ~T\tilde{\theta}_T based on continuous observations of XX. Verify that (Gt)t0(G_t)_{t\ge 0} satisfies the assumption in references \cite{Es-Sebaiy2019}, that is, the variance of the increment process {ζtiζti1,i=1,...,n}\{ \zeta_{t_i}-\zeta_{t_{i -1}}, i =1,..., n \} is bounded by the product of a power function and a negative exponential function, which ensure that θ^n\hat{\theta}_n and θˇn\check{\theta}_n are strong consistent and the sequences Tn(θ^nθ)\sqrt{T_n} (\hat {\theta}_n - \theta) and Tn(θˇnθ)\sqrt {T_n} (\check {\theta}_n - \theta) are tight based on discrete observations of XX

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2207.13355,
  title  = {Parameter estimation of non-ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck},
  author = {Yanping Lu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2207.13355},
  year   = {2022}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-25T01:15:59.142Z