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This paper advances the local projections (LP) method by addressing its inefficiency in high-frequency economic and financial data with volatility clustering. We incorporate a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-05 Chew Lian Chua , David Gunawan , Sandy Suardi

We derive a semi-analytical pricing formula for European VIX call options under the Heston-Hawkes stochastic volatility model introduced in arXiv:2210.15343. This arbitrage-free model incorporates the volatility clustering feature by adding…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-06-21 Oriol Zamora Font

Volatility asymmetry is a hot topic in high-frequency financial market. In this paper, we propose a new econometric model, which could describe volatility asymmetry based on high-frequency historical data and low-frequency historical data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-15 Huiling Yuan , Yong Zhou , Lu Xu , Yun Lei Sun , Xiang Yu Cui

It is now widely accepted that volatility models have to incorporate the so-called leverage effect in order to to model the dynamics of daily financial returns.We suggest a new class of multivariate power transformed asymmetric models. It…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-17 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Othman Kadmiri , Bruno Saussereau

We investigate the properties of a continuous time GARCH process as the solution to a L\'evy driven stochastic functional integral equation. This process occurs as a weak limit of a sequence of discrete time GARCH processes as the time…

概率论 · 数学 2018-04-25 Adam Nie

Generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (GARCH) processes are widely used for modelling features commonly found in observed financial returns. The extremal properties of these processes are of considerable interest for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-20 Fabrizio Laurini , Paul Fearnhead , Jonathan A. Tawn

This paper develops tests for the correct specification of the conditional variance function in GARCH models when the true parameter may lie on the boundary of the parameter space. The test statistics considered are of Kolmogorov-Smirnov…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-01 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Indeewara Perera , Anders Rahbek

This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that jointly estimates volatility, skewness and kurtosis over…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-06-08 A. Gabrielsen , P. Zagaglia , A. Kirchner , Z. Liu

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

Volatilities, in high-dimensional panels of economic time series with a dynamic factor structure on the levels or returns, typically also admit a dynamic factor decomposition. We consider a two-stage dynamic factor model method recovering…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Marc Hallin

Several well-established benchmark predictors exist for Value-at-Risk (VaR), a major instrument for financial risk management. Hybrid methods combining AR-GARCH filtering with skewed-$t$ residuals and the extreme value theory-based approach…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-11-25 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

Quantifying both historic and future volatility is key in portfolio risk management. This note presents and compares estimation strategies for volatility estimation in an estimation universe consisting on 28 629 unique companies from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-24 Øyvind Grotmol , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas , Michael Scheuerer

In a stochastic volatility framework, we find a general pricing equation for the class of payoffs depending on the terminal value of a market asset and its final quadratic variation. This allows a pricing tool for European-style claims…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-06-12 Lorenzo Torricelli

The majority of stylized facts of financial time series and several Value-at-Risk measures are modeled via univariate or multivariate GARCH processes. It is not rare that advanced GARCH models fail to converge for computational reasons, and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-02 Stavros Stavroyiannis

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia

This article develops a model that takes into account skewness risk in risk parity portfolios. In this framework, asset returns are viewed as stochastic processes with jumps or random variables generated by a Gaussian mixture distribution.…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-02-23 Benjamin Bruder , Nazar Kostyuchyk , Thierry Roncalli

Accurate volatility modelling is paramount for optimal risk management practices. One stylized feature of financial volatility that impacts the modelling process is long memory explored in this paper for alternative risk measures, observed…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-03-30 John Cotter

We propose different schemes for option hedging when asset returns are modeled using a general class of GARCH models. More specifically, we implement local risk minimization and a minimum variance hedge approximation based on an extended…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-12-06 Alexandru Badescu , Robert J. Elliott , Juan-Pablo Ortega

This is the first paper that estimates the price determinants of BitCoin in a Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework using high frequency data. Derived from a theoretical model, we estimate BitCoin transaction…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-12-27 Pavel Ciaian , d'Artis Kancs , Miroslava Rajcaniova

This paper intends to meet recent claims for the attainment of more rigorous statistical methodology within the econophysics literature. To this end, we consider an econometric approach to investigate the outcomes of the log-periodic model…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 L. Gazola , C. Fernandes , A. Pizzinga , R. Riera