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Clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints, such as overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS), are fundamental for evaluating new treatments, particularly in immuno-oncology. However, modern therapies, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-10 James Salsbury , Jeremy Oakley , Steven Julious , Lisa Hampson

When a novel treatment has successfully passed phase I, different options to design subsequent phase II trials are available. One approach is a single-arm trial, comparing the response rate in the intervention group against a fixed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Johannes Krisam , Dorothea Weber , Richard F. Schlenk , Meinhard Kieser

The use of historical controls offers a valuable alternative when traditional randomized controlled trials are not feasible. However, such approaches may introduce bias due to temporal changes in patient populations, diagnostic criteria,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-24 Marco Ratta , Pavel Mozgunov , Sandrine Boulet , Moreno Ursino

Randomized control trials (RCTs) have been the gold standard to evaluate the effectiveness of a program, policy, or treatment on an outcome of interest. However, many RCTs assume that study participants are willing to share their…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Manjusha Kancharla , Hyunseung Kang

Survival time is the primary endpoint of many randomized controlled trials, and a treatment effect is typically quantified by the hazard ratio under the assumption of proportional hazards. Awareness is increasing that in many settings this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-04 Robin Ristl , Heiko Götte , Armin Schüler , Martin Posch , Franz König

We investigate the optimal design of experimental studies that have pre-treatment outcome data available. The average treatment effect is estimated as the difference between the weighted average outcomes of the treated and control units. A…

Recent developments in sequential experimental design look to construct a policy that can efficiently navigate the design space, in a way that maximises the expected information gain. Whilst there is work on achieving tractable policies for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-20 Yasir Zubayr Barlas , Kizito Salako

Background: Natural or quasi experiments are appealing for public health research because they enable the evaluation of events or interventions that are difficult or impossible to manipulate experimentally, such as many policy and health…

Due to ethical and economical reasons, sequential single-arm trial designs are used for assessing the therapeutic efficacy of new treatments in phase II trials. Simon's 2-stage design and Lan-DeMets' $\alpha$-spending function method with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-31 Tasuku Inao , Isao Yokota

The research described herewith is to re-visit the classical doubly robust estimation of average treatment effect by conducting a systematic study on the comparisons, in the sense of asymptotic efficiency, among all possible combinations of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-01 Keli Guo , Chuyun Ye , Jun Fan , Lixing Zhu

Clinical trials traditionally employ blinding as a design mechanism to reduce the influence of placebo effects. In practice, however, it can be difficult or impossible to blind study participants and unblinded trials are common in medical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-06-22 Elias Chaibub Neto

A randomized trial allows estimation of the causal effect of an intervention compared to a control in the overall population and in subpopulations defined by baseline characteristics. Often, however, clinical questions also arise regarding…

In natural phenomena, data distributions often deviate from normality. One can think of cataclysms as a self-explanatory example: events that occur almost never, and at the same time are many standard deviations away from the common…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-16 Nuno Costa , Nuno Moniz

For randomized clinical trials where a single, primary, binary endpoint would require unfeasibly large sample sizes, composite endpoints are widely chosen as the primary endpoint. Despite being commonly used, composite endpoints entail…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-27 Marta Bofill Roig , Guadalupe Gómez Melis , Martin Posch , Franz Koenig

Both cluster randomized trials and quasi-experimental designs are used to evaluate the impact of health and social policies and interventions. Stepped-wedge cluster randomized trials randomize a staggered adoption approach, while recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Haidong Lu , Gregg S. Gonsalves , Fan Li , Guanyu Tong , Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

Clinical trials are an integral component of medical research. Trials require careful design to, for example, maintain the safety of participants, use resources efficiently and allow clinically meaningful conclusions to be drawn. Adaptive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-17 James M. McGree , Antony M. Overstall , Mark Jones , Robert K. Mahar

This note introduces a doubly robust (DR) estimator for regression discontinuity (RD) designs. RD designs provide a quasi-experimental framework for estimating treatment effects, where treatment assignment depends on whether a running…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-28 Masahiro Kato

A common feature of many recent trials evaluating the effects of immunotherapy on survival is that non-proportional hazards can be anticipated at the design stage. This raises the possibility to use a statistical method tailored towards…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-27 Dominic Magirr , José L. Jiménez

In some randomized clinical trials, patients may die before the measurements of their outcomes. Even though randomization generates comparable treatment and control groups, the remaining survivors often differ significantly in background…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-03-07 Fan Yang , Peng Ding

Classical randomized experiments, equipped with randomization-based inference, provide assumption-free inference for treatment effects. They have been the gold standard for drawing causal inference and provide excellent internal validity.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-22 Zihao Yang , Tianyi Qu , Xinran Li