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A central obstacle in the objective assessment of treatment effect (TE) estimators in randomized control trials (RCTs) is the lack of ground truth (or validation set) to test their performance. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Proportional hazards are a common assumption when designing confirmatory clinical trials in oncology. With the emergence of immunotherapy and novel targeted therapies, departure from the proportional hazard assumption is not rare in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-27 José L. Jiménez

Testing whether a variable of interest affects the outcome is one of the most fundamental problem in statistics and is often the main scientific question of interest. To tackle this problem, the conditional randomization test (CRT) is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Dae Woong Ham , Jiaze Qiu

A sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) facilitates comparison of multiple adaptive treatment strategies (ATSs) simultaneously. Previous studies have established a framework to test the homogeneity of multiple ATSs by a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-04 Liwen Wu , Junyao Wang , Abdus S. Wahed

Precision medicine is an emerging field that takes into account individual heterogeneity to inform better clinical practice. In clinical trials, the evaluation of treatment effect heterogeneity is an important component, and recently, many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Yuejia Xu , Angela M. Wood , Brian D. M. Tom

Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) are widely used to evaluate group-level interventions and increasingly collect multiple outcomes capturing complementary dimensions of benefit and risk. Investigators often seek a single global summary of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Xinyuan Chen , Fan Li

A multi-arm multi-stage trial is a multi-arm trial which includes interim analyses - analysing the data at certain specified points, generally discontinuing treatments which are concluded to not work and proceeding with the remainder. It is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-14 Martin Law

The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the ideal study design for the evaluation of multistage treatment regimes, which comprise sequential decision rules that recommend treatments for a patient at each of a series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-15 Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) offers a compelling nonparametric alternative to hazard ratios for right-censored time-to-event data, particularly when the proportional hazards assumption is violated. By capturing the total event-free…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-28 Jinghao Sun , Douglas E. Schaubel , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Randomized experiments or randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are gold standards for causal inference, yet cost and sample-size constraints limit power. We introduce CALM (Causal Analysis leveraging Language Models), a statistical framework…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-09 Xinrui Ruan , Xinwei Ma , Yingfei Wang , Waverly Wei , Jingshen Wang

While randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are critical for establishing the efficacy of new therapies, there are limitations regarding what comparisons can be made directly from trial data. RCTs are limited to a small number of comparator…

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) is gaining attention as a measure to quantify the treatment effect on survival outcomes in randomized clinical trials. Several methods to determine sample size based on the RMST-based tests have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-19 Satoshi Hattori , Hajime Uno

The use of information from real world to assess the effectiveness of medical products is becoming increasingly popular and more acceptable by regulatory agencies. According to a strategic real-world evidence framework published by U.S.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Jianghao Li , Yu Du , Huayu Liu , Yanyao Yi

We consider the problem of testing for treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies, and propose a nonparametric test based on multisample U-statistics. To account for potential confounders, we use reweighted data where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Maozhu Dai , Weining Shen , Hal S. Stern

Recently, there has been growing concern about heavy-tailed and skewed noise in biological data. We introduce RobustPALMRT, a flexible permutation framework for testing the association of a covariate of interest adjusted for control…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Torey Hilbert , Steven MacEachern , Yuan Zhang

Treatment switching in a randomized controlled trial is said to occur when a patient randomized to one treatment arm switches to another treatment arm during follow-up. This can occur at the point of disease progression, whereby patients in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-24 Andrew Ying , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Clinical trials are an instrument for making informed decisions based on evidence from well-designed experiments. Here we consider adaptive designs mainly from the perspective of multi-arm Phase II clinical trials, in which one or more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

Clinical trials with a hybrid control arm (a control arm constructed from a combination of randomized patients and real-world data on patients receiving usual care in standard clinical practice) have the potential to decrease the cost of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-20 Joanna Harton , Brian Segal , Ronac Mamtani , Nandita Mitra , Rebecca Hubbard

We develop a frequentist decision-theoretic framework for selecting the best arm in one-shot, multi-arm randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Our approach characterizes the minimax-regret (MMR) optimal decision rule for any multivariate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-21 Joonhwi Joo

Learning effective data representations has been crucial in non-parametric two-sample testing. Common approaches will first split data into training and test sets and then learn data representations purely on the training set. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-09 Xunye Tian , Liuhua Peng , Zhijian Zhou , Mingming Gong , Arthur Gretton , Feng Liu