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Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become standard tools in statistics to sample from complex probability measures. Many available techniques rely on discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernels build up over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-21 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Arnaud Doucet

We consider Markov-switching regression models, i.e. models for time series regression analyses where the functional relationship between covariates and response is subject to regime switching controlled by an unobservable Markov chain.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Richard Glennie , Théo Michelot

A scalar Langevin-type process $X(t)$ that is driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise $\eta(t)$ is non-Markovian. However, the joint dynamics of $X$ and $\eta$ is described by a Markov process in two dimensions. But even though there exists a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-01-17 B. Lehle , J. Peinke

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

Continuous-time Markov chains are mathematical models that are used to describe the state-evolution of dynamical systems under stochastic uncertainty, and have found widespread applications in various fields. In order to make these models…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-22 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

This work derives a theoretical value for the entropy of a Linear Additive Markov Process (LAMP), an expressive model able to generate sequences with a given autocorrelation structure. While a first-order Markov Chain model generates new…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-01-10 Bridget Smart , Matthew Roughan , Lewis Mitchell

Particle MCMC involves using a particle filter within an MCMC algorithm. For inference of a model which involves an unobserved stochastic process, the standard implementation uses the particle filter to propose new values for the stochastic…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-09-26 Paul Fearnhead , Loukia Meligkotsidou

Markov automata combine non-determinism, probabilistic branching, and exponentially distributed delays. This compositional variant of continuous-time Markov decision processes is used in reliability engineering, performance evaluation and…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-05-11 Tim Quatmann , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

This paper is a survey of various proofs of the so called {\em fundamental theorem of Markov chains}: every ergodic Markov chain has a unique positive stationary distribution and the chain attains this distribution in the limit independent…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-05 Somenath Biswas

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

The paper is devoted to the study of lattice paths that consist of vertical steps $(0,-1)$ and non-vertical steps $(1,k)$ for some $k\in \mathbb Z$. Two special families of primary and free lattice paths with vertical steps are considered.…

组合数学 · 数学 2014-10-22 Maciej Dziemianczuk

Recently developed analytic methods in the framework of the Field Correlator Method are reviewed in this series of four lectures and results of calculations are compared to lattice data and experiment. Recent lattice data demonstrating the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Yu. A. Simonov

In this paper we present an algorithm for pricing barrier options in one-dimensional Markov models. The approach rests on the construction of an approximating continuous-time Markov chain that closely follows the dynamics of the given…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-03-13 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius

Multiplex networks (a system of multiple networks that have different types of links but share a common set of nodes) arise naturally in a wide spectrum of fields. Theoretical studies show that in such multiplex networks, correlated edge…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Vikram S. Vijayaraghavan , Pierre-André Noël , Zeev Maoz , Raissa M. D'Souza

We introduce a family of Markov growth processes on discrete height functions defined on the 2-dimensional square lattice. Each height function corresponds to a configuration of the six vertex model on the infinite square lattice. We focus…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-01 Matthew Nicoletti , Leonid Petrov

This paper introduces the multiplicative variant of the recently proposed asynchronous additive coarse-space correction method. Definition of an asynchronous extension of multiplicative correction is not straightforward, however, our…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-12-20 Guillaume Gbikpi-Benissan , Frédéric Magoulès

Exclusive diffusion on a one-dimensional lattice is studied. In the model particles hop stochastically into both directions with different rates. At the ends of the lattice particles are injected and removed. The exact stationary…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-22 Sven Sandow

Fluid approximations have seen great success in approximating the macro-scale behaviour of Markov systems with a large number of discrete states. However, these methods rely on the continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) having a particular…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-29 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper, we are concerned with centered Markov Additive Processes $\{(X_t,Y_t)\}_{t\in\T}$ where the driving Markov process $\{X_t\}_{t\in\T}$ has a finite state space. Under suitable conditions, we provide a local limit theorem for…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-25 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux