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This paper develops a new class of conditional Markov jump processes with regime switching and paths dependence. The key novel feature of the developed process lies on its ability to switch the transition rate as it moves from one state to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-16 Budhi Surya

In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-31 Christopher K. Carter , Eduardo F. Mendes , Robert Kohn

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke

Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) are widely used methods for estimating the transition probability matrix in Markov chains and identifying significant relationships between transitions, such as equality.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Yining Zhou , Ming Gao , Yiting Chen , Xiaoping Shi

Among the Markov chains breaking detailed-balance that have been proposed in the field of Monte-Carlo sampling in order to accelerate the convergence towards the steady state with respect to the detailed-balance dynamics, the idea of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-10-15 Cecile Monthus

We introduce an extension of finite mixture models by incorporating skew-normal distributions within a Hidden Markov Model framework. By assuming a constant transition probability matrix and allowing emission distributions to vary according…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Andrea Nigri , Marco Forti , Han Lin Shang

We consider additive functionals of Markov processes in continuous time with general (metric) state spaces. We derive concentration bounds for their exponential moments and moments of finite order. Applications include diffusions,…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-18 Frank Redig , Florian Völlering

In this paper, we develop some matrix Poisson's equations satisfied by the mean and variance of the mixing time in an irreducible positive-recurrent discrete-time Markov chain with infinitely-many levels, and provide a computational…

概率论 · 数学 2013-08-21 Quan-Lin Li , Jing Cao

We study properties and parameter estimation of finite-state homogeneous continuous-time bivariate Markov chains. Only one of the two processes of the bivariate Markov chain is observable. The general form of the bivariate Markov chain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-14 Brian L. Mark , Yariv Ephraim

Recently it is shown that there are three families of stochastic one-dimensional non-equilibrium lattice models for which the single-shock measures form an invariant subspace of the states of these models. Here, both the stationary states…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Maryam Arabsalmani , Amir Aghamohammadi

We study a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes with state space Rd x E where E is a finite set. The continuous component evolves according to a smooth vector field that is switched at the jump times of the discrete coordinate.…

The recent development of the lattice gas automata method and its extension to the lattice Boltzmann method have provided new computational schemes for solving a variety of partial differential equations and modeling chemically reacting…

comp-gas · 物理学 2008-02-03 S. Chen , S. P. Dawson , G. D. Doolen , D. R. Janecky , A. Lawniczak

We demonstrate the use of a multidimensional extension of the latent Markov model to analyse data from studies with correlated binary responses in developmental psychology. In particular, we consider an experiment based on a battery of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Francesco Bartolucci , Ivonne L. Solis-Trapala

We study Markov processes where the "time" parameter is replaced by paths in a directed graph from an initial vertex to a terminal one. Along each directed path the process is Markov and has the same distribution as the one along any other…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-16 Krzysztof Burdzy , Soumik Pal

We prove that under mild positivity assumptions the entropy rate of a hidden Markov chain varies analytically as a function of the underlying Markov chain parameters. A general principle to determine the domain of analyticity is stated. An…

概率论 · 数学 2007-07-13 Guangyue Han , Brian Marcus

Pure-jump L\'evy processes are popular classes of stochastic processes which have found many applications in finance, statistics or machine learning. In this paper, we propose a novel family of self-decomposable L\'evy processes where one…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Fadhel Ayed , Juho Lee , François Caron

Triplet Markov chains are general generative models for sequential data which take into account three kinds of random variables: (noisy) observations, their associated discrete labels and latent variables which aim at strengthening the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-08 Katherine Morales , Yohan Petetin

Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin

Path-wise observables--functionals of stochastic trajectories--are at the heart of time-average statistical mechanics and are central to thermodynamic inequalities such as uncertainty relations, speed limits, and correlation-bounds. They…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-04-21 Lars Torbjørn Stutzer , Cai Dieball , Aljaž Godec

The current paper is a short review of rigorous results for the 1-2 model. The 1-2 model on the hexagonal lattice is a model of statistical mechanics in which each vertex is constrained to have degree either 1 or 2. It was proposed in a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-09 Geoffrey R. Grimmett , Zhongyang Li
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