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We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

The recent availability of large databases allows to study macroscopic properties of many complex systems. However, inferring a model from a fit of empirical data without any knowledge of the dynamics might lead to erroneous interpretations…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Riccardo Gallotti , Armando Bazzani , Sandro Rambaldi , Marc Barthelemy

We study a diffusion approximation for a model of stochastic motion of a particle in one spatial dimension. The velocity of the particle is constant but the direction of the motion undergoes random changes with a Poisson clock. Moreover,…

泛函分析 · 数学 2022-04-21 Adam Bobrowski , Tomasz Komorowski

The transition mechanism of jump processes between two different subsets in state space reveals important dynamical information of the processes and therefore has attracted considerable attention in the past years. In this paper, we study…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-28 Max von Kleist , Christof Schütte , Wei Zhang

We analyze velocity-jump process models of persistent search for a single target on a bounded domain. The searcher proceeds along ballistic trajectories and is absorbed upon collision with the target boundary. When reaching the domain…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-06-22 Daniel B. Poll , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

We present a case study applying learning-based distributionally robust model predictive control to highway motion planning under stochastic uncertainty of the lane change behavior of surrounding road users. The dynamics of road users are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-08 Mathijs Schuurmans , Alexander Katriniok , Christopher Meissen , H. Eric Tseng , Panagiotis Patrinos

A new vehicular traffic flow model based on a stochastic jump process in vehicle acceleration and braking is introduced. It is based on a master equation for the single car probability density in space, velocity and acceleration with an…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 K. Thomas Waldeer

The proposed stochastic model for pedestrian dynamics is based on existing approaches using cellular automata, combined with substantial extensions, to compensate the deficiencies resulting of the discrete grid structure. This agent motion…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-01 Michael Schultz

Learning a Markov Decision Process (MDP) from a fixed batch of trajectories is a non-trivial task whose outcome's quality depends on both the amount and the diversity of the sampled regions of the state-action space. Yet, many MDPs are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-08 Giorgio Angelotti , Nicolas Drougard , Caroline P. C. Chanel

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

There are multiple ways in which a stochastic system can be out of statistical equilibrium. It might be subject to time-varying forcing; or be in a transient phase on its way towards equilibrium; it might even be in equilibrium without us…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-07-08 Péter Koltai , Hao Wu , Frank Noé , Christof Schütte

One of the major challenges in neuroscience is to determine how noise that is present at the molecular and cellular levels affects dynamics and information processing at the macroscopic level of synaptically coupled neuronal populations.…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2014-06-12 Paul C. Bressloff , Jay M. Newby

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

We consider time-continuous Markovian discrete-state dynamics on random networks of interacting agents and study the large population limit. The dynamics are projected onto low-dimensional collective variables given by the shares of each…

Random walks are a fundamental model in applied mathematics and are a common example of a Markov chain. The limiting stationary distribution of the Markov chain represents the fraction of the time spent in each state during the stochastic…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2018-01-08 Austin R. Benson , David F. Gleich , Lek-Heng Lim

The paper is devoted to the approximate consensus problem for networks of nonlinear agents with switching topology, noisy and delayed measurements. In contrast to the existing stochastic approximation-based control algorithms (protocols), a…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-06-17 Natalia Amelina , Alexander Fradkov , Yuming Jiang , Dimitrios J. Vergados

This work investigates the almost sure stabilization of a class of regime-switching systems based on discrete-time observations of both continuous and discrete components. It develops Shao's work [SIAM J. Control Optim., 55(2017), pp.…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-11 Jinghai Shao , Fubao Xi

Markov jump processes and continuous time Bayesian networks are important classes of continuous time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of inferring unobserved paths in these models by introducing a fast auxiliary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-20 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-14 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri