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Plasma kinetic equations exhibit pronounced sensitivity to microscopic perturbations in model parameters and data, making reliable and efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) essential for predictive simulations. However, the cost of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Wei Chen , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-15 Jing Li , Alexandre M Tartakovsky

For computational efficiency, surrogate models have been used to emulate mathematical simulators for physical or biological processes. High-speed simulation is crucial for conducting uncertainty quantification (UQ) when the simulation is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-21 Lixiang Zhang , Jia Li

Surrogate models (including deep neural networks and other machine learning algorithms in supervised learning) are capable of approximating arbitrarily complex, high-dimensional input-output problems in science and engineering, but require…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Miguel Sánchez-Domínguez , Lucas Lacasa , Javier de Vicente , Gonzalo Rubio , Eusebio Valero

Quantifying uncertainty of machine learning model predictions is essential for reliable decision-making, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, uncertainty quantification (UQ) theory has advanced significantly, building on a…

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) of subsurface two-phase flow usually requires numerous executions of forward simulations under varying conditions. In this work, a novel coupled theory-guided neural network (TgNN) based surrogate model is…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-09-08 Jian Li , Dongxiao Zhang , Tianhao He , Qiang Zheng

On top of machine learning models, uncertainty quantification (UQ) functions as an essential layer of safety assurance that could lead to more principled decision making by enabling sound risk assessment and management. The safety and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-28 Venkat Nemani , Luca Biggio , Xun Huan , Zhen Hu , Olga Fink , Anh Tran , Yan Wang , Xiaoge Zhang , Chao Hu

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important to machine learning (ML) force fields to assess the level of confidence during prediction, as ML models are not inherently physical and can therefore yield catastrophically incorrect predictions.…

化学物理 · 物理学 2022-11-22 Yuge Hu , Joseph Musielewicz , Zachary Ulissi , Andrew J. Medford

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) provides a resource-efficient solution for on-device monitoring of tinyML models deployed without access to true labels. However, existing UQ methods impose significant memory and compute demands, making them…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Nikhil P Ghanathe , Steven J E Wilton

This study presents a comprehensive framework for uncertainty quantification (UQ) and design optimization of plasma etching in semiconductor manufacturing. The framework is demonstrated using experimental measurements of etched depth…

科普物理 · 物理学 2025-11-10 Yongsu Jung , Minji Kang , Muyoung Kim , Min Sup Choi , Hyeong-U Kim , Jaekwang Kim

Recently, the graph-accelerated non-intrusive polynomial chaos (NIPC) method has been proposed for solving uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems. This method leverages the full-grid integration-based NIPC method to address UQ problems…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Bingran Wang , Nicholas C. Orndorff , John T. Hwang

Consistency-based methods have emerged as an effective approach to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in large language models. These methods typically rely on several generations obtained via multinomial sampling, measuring their agreement…

We propose a novel \textit{capsule} based deep encoder-decoder model for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification of systems in mechanics from sparse data. The proposed framework is developed by adapting Capsule Network (CapsNet)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-20 Akshay Thakur , Souvik Chakraborty

Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) integrates partial differential equations (PDEs) into machine learning models to solve inverse problems, such as estimating coefficient functions (e.g., the Hamiltonian function) that characterize…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-11-07 Yoh-ichi Mototake , Makoto Sasaki

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are a popular surrogate modelling method that takes advantage of the properties of PCE, the sparsity-of-effects principle, and powerful sparse regression solvers to approximate computer models with…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-05-20 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoya Zhang

In this paper, we study uncertainty quantification (UQ) in forward problems. Our objective is to construct accurate and robust surrogate models by incorporating the seventh-order central weighted essentially non-oscillatory (CWENO7) scheme…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-11-04 Alina Chertock , Arsen S. Iskhakov , Alexander Kurganov

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a pivotal role in scientific machine learning, especially when surrogate models are used to approximate complex systems. Although multilayer perceptions (MLPs) are commonly employed as surrogates, they…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-01-22 Zhiwei Gao , George Em Karniadakis

Thanks to their versatility, ease of deployment and high-performance, surrogate models have become staple tools in the arsenal of uncertainty quantification (UQ). From local interpolants to global spectral decompositions, surrogates are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-12 C. Lataniotis , S. Marelli , B. Sudret