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Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a pivotal role in reduction of uncertainties during both optimization and decision making processes. It can be applied to solve a variety of real-world applications in science and engineering. Bayesian…

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

In this article, we develop a set-oriented numerical methodology which allows to perform uncertainty quantification (UQ) for dynamical systems from a global point of view. That is, for systems with uncertain parameters we approximate the…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-08-29 Michael Dellnitz , Stefan Klus , Adrian Ziessler

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

Quantifying and propagating modeling uncertainties is crucial for reliability analysis, robust optimization, and other model-based algorithmic processes in engineering design and control. Now, physics-informed machine learning (PIML)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-14 Manaswin Oddiraju , Bharath Varma Penumatsa , Divyang Amin , Michael Piedmonte , Souma Chowdhury

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for deploying machine learning models in safety-critical physical systems, yet classical Bayesian approaches incur substantial computational overhead. We establish a formal connection between…

In the last few decades, uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods have been used widely to ensure the robustness of engineering designs. This chapter aims to detail recent advances in popular uncertainty quantification methods used in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Dinesh Kumar , Farid Ahmed , Shoaib Usman , Ayodeji Alajo , Syed Alam

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

Turbulent flows play an important role in many scientific and technological design problems. Both Sub-Grid Scale (SGS) models in Large Eddy Simulations (LES) and Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) based modeling will require turbulence…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-07-16 Minghan Chu

In this work, Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) based on non-intrusive Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is applied to the CFD problem of the flow past an airfoil with parameterized angle of attack and inflow velocity. To limit the…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-12-20 Saddam Hijazi , Giovanni Stabile , Andrea Mola , Gianluigi Rozza

Many physics and engineering applications demand Partial Differential Equations (PDE) property evaluations that are traditionally computed with resource-intensive high-fidelity numerical solvers. Data-driven surrogate models provide an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-18 Raphaël Pestourie , Youssef Mroueh , Chris Rackauckas , Payel Das , Steven G. Johnson

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) research has primarily focused on closed-book factual question answering (QA), while contextual QA remains unexplored, despite its importance in real-world applications. In this work, we focus on UQ for the…

The requirement for identifying accurate system representations has not only been a challenge to fulfill, but it has compromised the scalability of formal methods, as the resulting models are often too complex for effective decision making…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-20 Oliver Schön , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an active area of research, and an essential technique used in all fields of science and engineering. The most common methods for UQ are Monte Carlo and surrogate-modelling. The former method is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-01 Arnau Albà , Romana Boiger , Dimitri Rochman , Andreas Adelmann

Machine learning surrogates are increasingly employed to replace expensive computational models for physics-based reliability analysis. However, their use introduces epistemic uncertainty from model approximation errors, which couples with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Amirreza Tootchi , Xiaoping Du

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in scientific machine learning is increasingly critical as neural networks are widely adopted to tackle complex problems across diverse scientific disciplines. For physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Frank Shih , Zhenghao Jiang , Faming Liang

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Lior Hirschfeld , Kyle Swanson , Kevin Yang , Regina Barzilay , Connor W. Coley

Deep Learning (DL) methods have been transforming computer vision with innovative adaptations to other domains including climate change. For DL to pervade Science and Engineering (S&E) applications where risk management is a core component,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-25 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Jennifer Dy , Sangram Ganguly , Ramakrishna Nemani , Auroop R. Ganguly