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Neural operators (NOs) provide fast, resolution-invariant surrogates for mapping input fields to PDE solution fields, but their predictions can exhibit significant epistemic uncertainty due to finite data, imperfect optimization, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Haoze Song , Zhihao Li , Mengyi Deng , Xin Li , Duyi Pan , Zhilu Lai , Wei Wang

We present a regression technique for data-driven problems based on polynomial chaos expansion (PCE). PCE is a popular technique in the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ), where it is typically used to replace a runnable but expensive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-02 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

Gradient-enhanced Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has received recent attention, in which the derivatives of a Quantity of Interest (QoI) with respect to the uncertain parameters are utilized to improve the surrogate approximation.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-23 Ji Peng , Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has received much attention in the literature in the past decade. In this context, Sparse Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have been shown to be among the most promising methods because of their ability to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-17 N. Fajraoui , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

This paper deals with some of the methodologies used to construct polynomial surrogate models based on generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansions for applications to uncertainty quantification (UQ) in aerodynamic computations. A core…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Eric Savin , Andrea Resmini , Jacques Peter

Stochastic unit commitment models typically handle uncertainties in forecast demand by considering a finite number of realizations from a stochastic process model for loads. Accurate evaluations of expectations or higher moments for the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-07-09 Cosmin Safta , Richard L. Chen , Habib N. Najm , Ali Pinar , Jean-paul watson

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in scientific machine learning (SciML) combines the powerful predictive power of SciML with methods for quantifying the reliability of the learned models. However, two major challenges remain: limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-16 Zongren Zou , Tingwei Meng , Paula Chen , Jérôme Darbon , George Em Karniadakis

Machine learning (ML) offers promising new approaches to tackle complex problems and has been increasingly adopted in chemical and materials sciences. Broadly speaking, ML models employ generic mathematical functions and attempt to learn…

材料科学 · 物理学 2024-08-21 Jin Dai , Santosh Adhikari , Mingjian Wen

We present an enriched formulation of the Least Squares (LSQ) regression method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) using generalised polynomial chaos (gPC). More specifically, we enrich the linear system with additional equations for the…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-08-09 Kyriakos D. Kantarakias , George Papadakis

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is receiving more and more attention for engineering applications in particular from robust optimization. Indeed, running a computer experiment only provides a limited knowledge in terms of uncertainty and…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2018-03-19 Pamphile Tupui Roy , Luis Miguel Segui , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Laurent Gicquel

Surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification tasks for PDE systems are most often considered as supervised learning problems where input and output data pairs are used for training. The construction of such emulators is by definition a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-06-26 Yinhao Zhu , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Paris Perdikaris

Scientific Machine Learning is a new class of approaches that integrate physical knowledge and mechanistic models with data-driven techniques for uncovering governing equations of complex processes. Among the available approaches, Universal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-14 Nina Schmid , David Fernandes del Pozo , Willem Waegeman , Jan Hasenauer

In recent years, large language models (LLMs) have become increasingly prevalent, offering remarkable text generation capabilities. However, a pressing challenge is their tendency to make confidently wrong predictions, highlighting the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Xiang Gao , Jiaxin Zhang , Lalla Mouatadid , Kamalika Das

In surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is popularly utilized to represent the random model responses, which are computationally expensive and usually obtained by deterministic numerical modeling approaches including finite…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-01 Z. Liu , D. Lesselier , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

Neural networks (NNs) are currently changing the computational paradigm on how to combine data with mathematical laws in physics and engineering in a profound way, tackling challenging inverse and ill-posed problems not solvable with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Apostolos F Psaros , Xuhui Meng , Zongren Zou , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

We present a method to quantify uncertainty in the predictions made by simulations of mathematical models that can be applied to a broad class of stochastic, discrete, and differential equation models. Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-05 Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Sara Y. Del Valle

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a classical and widely used surrogate modeling technique in physical simulation and uncertainty quantification. By taking a linear combination of a set of basis polynomials - orthonormal with respect to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Johannes Exenberger , Sascha Ranftl , Robert Peharz

With the increased prevalence of neural operators being used to provide rapid solutions to partial differential equations (PDEs), understanding the accuracy of model predictions and the associated error levels is necessary for deploying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Nick Winovich , Mitchell Daneker , Lu Lu , Guang Lin