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ChatGPT sets a new record with the fastest-growing user base, as a chatbot powered by a large language model (LLM). While it demonstrates state-of-the-art capabilities in a variety of language-generation tasks, it also raises widespread…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-02-15 Ratanond Koonchanok , Yanling Pan , Hyeju Jang

This study investigates whether OpenAI's ChatGPT-3.5 and ChatGPT-4 can forecast future events. To evaluate the accuracy of the predictions, we take advantage of the fact that the training data at the time of our experiments (mid 2023)…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-08 Van Pham , Scott Cunningham

We use Random Matrix Theory (RMT) and information theory to analyze the correlations and flow of information between 64,939 news from The New York Times and 40 world financial indices during 10 months along the period 2015-2016. The set of…

We examine how large language models (LLMs) interpret historical stock returns and compare their forecasts with estimates from a crowd-sourced platform for ranking stocks. While stock returns exhibit short-term reversals, LLM forecasts…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-19 Shuaiyu Chen , T. Clifton Green , Huseyin Gulen , Dexin Zhou

In an increasingly connected global market, news sentiment towards one company may not only indicate its own market performance, but can also be associated with a broader movement on the sentiment and performance of other companies from the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Xingchen Wan , Jie Yang , Slavi Marinov , Jan-Peter Calliess , Stefan Zohren , Xiaowen Dong

In this study, ChatGPT is utilized to create streamlined models that generate easily interpretable features. These features are then used to evaluate financial outcomes from earnings calls. We detail a training approach that merges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Olivier Gandouet , Mouloud Belbahri , Armelle Jezequel , Yuriy Bodjov

This study investigates how social media sentiment derived from Reddit comments can be used to enhance investment decisions in a way that offers higher returns with lower risk. Using BERTweet we analyzed over 2 million Reddit comments from…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Gatik Goyal , Sharvil Phadke , Arnav Sharma , Huifang Qin

Financial market forecasting is one of the most attractive practical applications of sentiment analysis. In this paper, we investigate the potential of using sentiment \emph{attitudes} (positive vs negative) and also sentiment…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-03-14 Andrius Mudinas , Dell Zhang , Mark Levene

Financial Sentiment Analysis (FSA) traditionally relies on human-annotated sentiment labels to infer investor sentiment and forecast market movements. However, inferring the potential market impact of words based on their human-perceived…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Hamid Moradi-Kamali , Mohammad-Hossein Rajabi-Ghozlou , Mahdi Ghazavi , Ali Soltani , Amirreza Sattarzadeh , Reza Entezari-Maleki

Generative AI tools such as ChatGPT can fundamentally change the way investors process information. We probe the economic usefulness of these tools in summarizing complex corporate disclosures using the stock market as a laboratory. The…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-10 Alex Kim , Maximilian Muhn , Valeri Nikolaev

Artificial intelligence techniques have increasingly been applied to understand the complex relationship between public sentiment and financial market behaviour. This study explores the relationship between the sentiment of news related to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-21 Domenica Mino , Cillian Williamson

ChatGPT, a chatbot developed by OpenAI, has gained widespread popularity and media attention since its release in November 2022. However, little hard evidence is available regarding its perception in various sources. In this paper, we…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-02-28 Christoph Leiter , Ran Zhang , Yanran Chen , Jonas Belouadi , Daniil Larionov , Vivian Fresen , Steffen Eger

Evaluating the quality of academic journal articles is a time consuming but critical task for national research evaluation exercises, appointments and promotion. It is therefore important to investigate whether Large Language Models (LLMs)…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Mike Thelwall

While previous studies have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can predict peer review outcomes to some extent, this paper builds on that by introducing two new contexts and employing a more robust method - averaging multiple…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2024-11-18 Mike Thelwall , Abdullah Yaghi

Macroeconomic variables are known to significantly impact equity markets, but their predictive power for price fluctuations has been underexplored due to challenges such as infrequency and variability in timing of announcements, changing…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-26 Martina Halousková , Štefan Lyócsa

Large language models (LLMs), including ChatGPT, can extract profitable trading signals from the sentiment in news text. However, backtesting such strategies poses a challenge because LLMs are trained on many years of data, and backtesting…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-02 Paul Glasserman , Caden Lin

The stock market is heavily influenced by investor sentiment, which can drive buying or selling behavior. Sentiment analysis helps in gauging the overall sentiment of market participants towards a particular stock or the market as a whole.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-21 Tamoghna Mukherjee

The large language model (LLM) ChatGPT's quality scores for journal articles correlate more strongly with human judgements than some citation-based indicators in most fields. Averaging multiple ChatGPT scores improves the results,…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Mike Thelwall , Yunhan Yang

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for understanding the influence of news on stock prices. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for this purpose due to their advanced text analysis capabilities. However,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Yixuan Liang , Yuncong Liu , Neng Wang , Hongyang Yang , Boyu Zhang , Christina Dan Wang

ChatGPT, a software seeking to simulate human conversational abilities, is attracting increasing attention. It is sometimes portrayed as a groundbreaking productivity aid, including for creative work. In this paper, we run an experiment to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-09-08 Claudia Biancotti , Carolina Camassa