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Advances in anticancer therapies have significantly contributed to declining death rates in certain disease and clinical settings. However, they have also made it difficult to power a clinical trial in these settings with overall survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-09 Godwin Yung , Kaspar Rufibach , Marcel Wolbers , Mark Yan , Jue Wang

Overall survival (OS) is the gold standard for assessing patient benefit and cost-effectiveness of new cancer drugs. However, it is often difficult to use OS as the primary endpoint in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) for patients with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Sidi Wang , Kelley Kidwell , Bo Huang , Satrajit Roychoudhury

When planning an oncology clinical trial, the usual approach is to assume proportional hazards and even an exponential distribution for time-to-event endpoints. Often, besides the gold-standard endpoint overall survival (OS),…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Alexandra Erdmann , Jan Beyersmann , Kaspar Rufibach

In oncology clinical trials, characterizing the long-term overall survival (OS) benefit for an experimental drug or treatment regimen (experimental group) is often unobservable if some patients in the control group switch to drugs in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-08-05 Yuqing Xu , Meijing Wu , Weili He , Qiming Liao , Yabing Mai

The development of targeted therapies, which benefit only a subgroup of patients treated for a given type of cancer, has been extremely attractive to many investigators. Adaptive seamless phase II/III designs in oncology clinical trials…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-08 Ryuji Uozumi , Chikuma Hamada

Clinical trials often collect data on multiple outcomes, such as overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and response to treatment (RT). In most cases, however, study designs only use primary outcome data for interim and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Massimiliano Russo , Steffen Ventz , Lorenzo Trippa

Clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints, such as overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS), are fundamental for evaluating new treatments, particularly in immuno-oncology. However, modern therapies, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-10 James Salsbury , Jeremy Oakley , Steven Julious , Lisa Hampson

In oncological clinical trials, overall survival (OS) is the gold-standard endpoint, but long follow-up and treatment switching can delay or dilute detectable effects. Progression-free survival (PFS) often provides earlier evidence and is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Kaspar Rufibach , Jan Beyersmann , René Schmidt

In oncology, phase II or multiple expansion cohort trials are crucial for clinical development plans. This is because they aid in identifying potent agents with sufficient activity to continue development and confirm the proof of concept.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Takuya Yoshimoto , Satoru Shinoda , Kouji Yamamoto , Kouji Tahata

Progression free survival (PFS) and tumour response (TR) have been investigated as surrogate endpoints for overall survival (OS) in advanced colorectal cancer (aCRC), however their validity has been shown to be suboptimal. In recent years,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-11 Eleni G. Elia , Nicolas Städler , Oriana Ciani , Rod S. Taylor , Sylwia Bujkiewicz

Purpose. Patients with advanced cancer may undergo multiple lines of treatment, switching therapies as their disease progresses. Motivated by a study of metastatic prostate cancer, we develop a microsimulation framework to study therapy…

Longitudinal observational patient data can be used to investigate the causal effects of time-varying treatments on time-to-event outcomes. Several methods have been developed for controlling for the time-dependent confounding that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-08 Ruth H. Keogh , Jon Michael Gran , Shaun R. Seaman , Gwyneth Davies , Stijn Vansteelandt

In response to the U.S.\ Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) Project Optimus, a paradigm shift is underway in the design of early-phase oncology trials. To accelerate drug development, seamless Phase I/II designs have gained increasing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Kana Makino , Natsumi Makigusa , Masahiro Kojima

Mid-study design modifications are becoming increasingly accepted in confirmatory clinical trials, so long as appropriate methods are applied such that error rates are controlled. It is therefore unfortunate that the important case of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-05-08 Dominic Magirr , Thomas Jaki , Franz Koenig , Martin Posch

The development of oncology drugs progresses through multiple phases, where after each phase a decision is made about whether to move a molecule forward. Early phase efficacy decisions are often made on the basis of single arm studies based…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Ulrich Beyer , David Dejardin , Matthias Meller , Kaspar Rufibach , Hans Ulrich Burger

The progression-free survival ratio (PFSr) is a widely used measure in personalized oncology trials. It evaluates the effectiveness of treatment by comparing two consecutive event times - one under standard therapy and one under an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Merle Munko , Simon Mack , Marc Ditzhaus , Stefan Fröhling , Dennis Dobler , Dominic Edelmann

The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the gold standard trial design to generate data for the evaluation of multi-stage treatment regimes. As with conventional (single-stage) randomized clinical trials, interim…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Eric Laber , Marie Davidian

Modern clinical trials and cohort studies gather low-cost data on all participants but may have limited resources to assess expensive exposures such as biomarkers or genomic data. When interest lies in associations involving expensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Yunbi Nam , Nathan I. Shapiro , Eric P. Schmidt , Wesley H. Self , Ran Tao , Jonathan S. Schildcrout

Survival outcomes are common in comparative effectiveness studies and require unique handling because they are usually incompletely observed due to right-censoring. A ``once for all'' approach for causal inference with survival outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-21 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Overall survival (OS) time prediction is one of the most common estimates of the prognosis of gliomas and is used to design an appropriate treatment planning. State-of-the-art (SOTA) methods for OS time prediction follow a pre-hoc approach…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Renato Hermoza , Gabriel Maicas , Jacinto C. Nascimento , Gustavo Carneiro
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