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A stable-like Markov chain is a time-homogeneous Markov chain on the real line with the transition kernel $p(x,dy)=f_x(y-x)dy$, where the density functions $f_x(y)$, for large $|y|$, have a power-law decay with exponent $\alpha(x)+1$, where…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-01 Nikola Sandrić

Given access to a single long trajectory generated by an unknown irreducible Markov chain $M$, we simulate an $\alpha$-lazy version of $M$ which is ergodic. This enables us to generalize recent results on estimation and identity testing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-02 Sela Fried , Geoffrey Wolfer

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Using the renewal approach we prove exponential inequalities for additive functionals and empirical processes of ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The inequalities…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-18 Radosław Adamczak , Witold Bednorz

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

We study ergodic properties of stochastic dissipative systems with additive noise. We show that the system is uniformly exponentially ergodic provided the growth of nonlinearity at infinity is faster than linear. The abstract result is…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Beniamin Goldys , Bohdan Maslowski

Non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes have been recently introduced in applied probability, automatic control, physics and statistics. Although these algorithms demonstrate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-29 George Deligiannidis , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Arnaud Doucet

We argue that the spectral theory of non-reversible Markov chains may often be more effectively cast within the framework of the naturally associated weighted-$L_\infty$ space $L_\infty^V$, instead of the usual Hilbert space $L_2=L_2(\pi)$,…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-30 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

In queuing theory and related problems, it is very important to know the numerical characteristics of an investigated system - both in stationary and non-stationary modes. In some cases, such characteristics can be calculated, but this is…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-25 Galina Zverkina , Mais Farkhadov

The goal of this paper is to develop a general method to establish conditional ergodicity of infinite-dimensional Markov chains. Given a Markov chain in a product space, we aim to understand the ergodic properties of its conditional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Xin Thomson Tong , Ramon van Handel

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

The graph-related symmetries of a reaction network give rise to certain special equilibria (such as complex balanced equilibria) in deterministic models of dynamics of the reaction network. Correspondingly, in the stochastic setting, when…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-21 Daniele Cappelletti , Badal Joshi

We consider ergodic backward stochastic differential equations in a discrete time setting, where noise is generated by a finite state Markov chain. We show existence and uniqueness of solutions, along with a comparison theorem. To obtain…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-02 Andrew L. Allan , Samuel N. Cohen

Stochastic epidemic models provide an interpretable probabilistic description of the spread of a disease through a population. Yet, fitting these models to partially observed data is a notoriously difficult task due to intractability of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-21 Raphael Morsomme , Jason Xu

In this paper we extend the results of the research started by the first author, in which Karlin-McGregor diagonalization of certain reversible Markov chains over countably infinite general state spaces by orthogonal polynomials was used to…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2012-02-15 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Nicholas Michalowski

The first aim of this paper is to introduce a class of Markov chains on $\mathbb{Z}_+$ which are discrete self-similar in the sense that their semigroups satisfy an invariance property expressed in terms of a discrete random dilation…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-08 Laurent Miclo , Pierre Patie , Rohan Sarkar

We establish non-asymptotic error bounds for the classical Maximal Likelihood Estimation of the transition matrix of a given Markov chain. Meanwhile, in the reversible case, we propose a new reversibility-preserving online Symmetric…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

We propose a novel Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) method for reverse engineering the topological structure of stochastic reaction networks, a notoriously challenging problem that is relevant in many modern areas of research, like…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-08 Daniel F. Linder , Grzegorz A. Rempala

We propose a random adaptation variant of time-varying distributed averaging dynamics in discrete time. We show that this leads to novel interpretations of fundamental concepts in distributed averaging, opinion dynamics, and distributed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-28 Rohit Parasnis , Ashwin Verma , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

We show that the minimax sample complexity for estimating the pseudo-spectral gap $\gamma_{\mathsf{ps}}$ of an ergodic Markov chain in constant multiplicative error is of the order of $$\tilde{\Theta}\left( \frac{1}{\gamma_{\mathsf{ps}}…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-07 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich