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We study the convergence properties of a collapsed Gibbs sampler for Bayesian vector autoregressions with predictors, or exogenous variables. The Markov chain generated by our algorithm is shown to be geometrically ergodic regardless of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-05 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) lies at the core of modern Bayesian methodology, much of which would be impossible without it. Thus, the convergence properties of MCMCs have received significant attention, and in particular, proving…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-28 Bala Rajaratnam , Doug Sparks

Classic inversion methods adjust a model with a predefined number of parameters to the observed data. With transdimensional inversion algorithms such as the reversible-jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (rjMCMC), it is possible to vary this…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-09-02 Márk Somogyvári , Sebastian Reich

Typical geophysical inversion problems are ill-posed, non-linear and non-unique. Sometimes the problem is trans-dimensional, where the number of unknown parameters is one of the unknowns, which makes the inverse problem even more…

地球物理 · 物理学 2010-02-25 Xiaolin Luo

In any Markov chain Monte Carlo analysis, rapid convergence of the chain to its target probability distribution is of practical and theoretical importance. A chain that converges at a geometric rate is geometrically ergodic. In this paper,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-10-05 Alicia A. Johnson , Owen Burbank

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

In this paper we present an extension of population-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to the trans-dimensional case. One of the main challenges in MCMC-based inference is that of simulating from high and trans-dimensional target…

统计计算 · 统计学 2007-11-02 Ajay Jasra , David A. Stephens , Chris C. Holmes

Rao and Teh (2012, 2013) introduced an efficient MCMC algorithm for sampling from the posterior distribution of a hidden Markov jump process. The algorithm is based on the idea of sampling virtual jumps. In the present paper we show that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-06-28 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojcieh Niemiro

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

Rao and Teh (2013) introduced an efficient MCMC algorithm for sampling from the posterior distribution of a hidden Markov jump process. The algorithm is based on the idea of sampling virtual jumps. In the present paper we show that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-03 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

We describe ergodic properties of some Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithms for heavy-tailed target distributions. The analysis usually falls into sub-geometric ergodicity framework but we prove that the mixed preconditioned Crank-Nicolson…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-10 Kengo Kamatani

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We consider whether ergodic Markov chains with bounded step size remain bounded in probability when their transitions are modified by an adversary on a bounded subset. We provide counterexamples to show that the answer is no in general, and…

Markov Chain Monte Carlo is repeatedly used to analyze the properties of intractable distributions in a convenient way. In this paper we derive conditions for geometric ergodicity of a general class of nonparametric stochastic volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-12-09 Jerzy P. Rydlewski , Małgorzata Snarska

Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them `non-Markovian', which means that their…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-28 Pietari Laitinen , Matti Vihola

This paper discusses the irreducibility and geometric ergodicity of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm. We consider cases where the number of steps of the symplectic integrator is either fixed or random. Under mild conditions on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-14 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Eero Saksman

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method is a versatile tool in statistical physics to evaluate multi-dimensional integrals numerically. For the method to work effectively, we must consider the following key issues: the choice of ensemble, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-01-07 Synge Todo , Hidemaro Suwa

We establish general conditions under which Markov chains produced by the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method will and will not be geometrically ergodic. We consider implementations with both position-independent and position-dependent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-11-19 Samuel Livingstone , Michael Betancourt , Simon Byrne , Mark Girolami

A Markov chain is geometrically ergodic if it converges to its in- variant distribution at a geometric rate in total variation norm. We study geo- metric ergodicity of deterministic and random scan versions of the two-variable Gibbs…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-22 Aixin Tan , Galin L. Jones , James P. Hobert

Bayesian inverse problems often involve sampling posterior distributions on infinite-dimensional function spaces. Traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are characterized by deteriorating mixing times upon mesh-refinement,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-08 Alexandros Beskos , Mark Girolami , Shiwei Lan , Patrick E. Farrell , Andrew M. Stuart
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