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This paper develops a connection between the asymptotic stability of nonlinear filters and a notion of observability. We consider a general class of hidden Markov models in continuous time with compact signal state space, and call such a…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-15 Ramon van Handel

We develop necessary and sufficient conditions for uniqueness of the invariant measure of the filtering process associated to an ergodic hidden Markov model in a finite or countable state space. These results provide a complete solution to…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-16 Pavel Chigansky , Ramon van Handel

This paper investigates the ergodicity of Markov--Feller semigroups on Polish spaces, focusing on very weak regularity conditions, particularly the Ces\`aro eventual continuity. First, it is showed that the Ces\`aro average of such…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-30 Fuzhou Gong , Yong Liu , Yuan Liu , Ziyu Liu

We obtain a perfect sampling characterization of weak ergodicity for backward products of finite stochastic matrices, and equivalently, simultaneous tail triviality of the corresponding nonhomogeneous Markov chains. Applying these ideas to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee

The goal of this paper is to develop a general method to establish conditional ergodicity of infinite-dimensional Markov chains. Given a Markov chain in a product space, we aim to understand the ergodic properties of its conditional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Xin Thomson Tong , Ramon van Handel

We formulate a criterion for the existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure for a Markov process taking values in a Polish phase space. In addition, weak-$^*$ ergodicity, that is, the weak convergence of the ergodic averages of the…

概率论 · 数学 2010-10-19 Tomasz Komorowski , Szymon Peszat , Tomasz Szarek

It has been established under very general conditions that the ergodic properties of Markov processes are inherited by their conditional distributions given partial information. While the existing theory provides a rather complete picture…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-04 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

A hidden Markov model is called observable if distinct initial laws give rise to distinct laws of the observation process. Observability implies stability of the nonlinear filter when the signal process is tight, but this need not be the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-10 Ramon van Handel

We consider a bivariate stationary Markov chain $(X_n,Y_n)_{n\ge0}$ in a Polish state space, where only the process $(Y_n)_{n\ge0}$ is presumed to be observable. The goal of this paper is to investigate the ergodic theory and stability…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-22 Xin Thomson Tong , Ramon van Handel

Consider a filtering process associated to a hidden Markov model with densities for which both the state space and the observation space are complete, separable, metric spaces. If the underlying, hidden Markov chain is strongly ergodic and…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-03 Thomas Kaijser

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

Reachability analysis aims at identifying states reachable by a system within a given time horizon. This task is known to be computationally expensive for linear hybrid systems. Reachability analysis works by iteratively applying continuous…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 Sergiy Bogomolov , Marcelo Forets , Goran Frehse , Kostiantyn Potomkin , Christian Schilling

Orderability, weak orderability and the existence of continuous weak selections on filter spaces (i.e., spaces with a single non-isolated point) and their products are discussed. We prove that a closed continuous image X of a suborderable…

一般拓扑 · 数学 2017-10-19 Koichi Motooka , Dmitri Shakhmatov , Takamitsu Yamauchi

We investigate the robustness of nonlinear filtering for continuous time finite state Markov chains, observed in white noise, with respect to misspecification of the model parameters. It is shown that the distance between the optimal filter…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Ramon van Handel

Max-stable processes are central models for spatial extremes. In this paper, we focus on some space-time max-stable models introduced in Embrechts et al. (2016). The processes considered induce discrete-time Markov chains taking values in…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-09 Erwan Koch , Christian Y. Robert

In real world applications, uncertain parameters are the rule rather than the exception. We present a reachability algorithm for linear systems with uncertain parameters and inputs using set propagation of polynomial zonotopes. In contrast…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-18 Yushen Huang , Ertai Luo , Stanley Bak , Yifan Sun

In the present paper we investigate the $L_1$-weak ergodicity of nonhomogeneous discrete Markov processes with general state spaces. Note that the $L_1$-weak ergodicity is weaker than well-known weak ergodicity. We provide a necessary and…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-10 Farrukh Mukhamedov

The nonlinear filtering equation is said to be stable if it ``forgets'' the initial condition. It is known that the filter might be unstable even if the signal is an ergodic Markov chain. In general, the filtering stability requires…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Robert Liptser

Weak Feller property of controlled and control-free Markov chains lead to many desirable properties. In control-free setups this leads to the existence of invariant probability measures for compact spaces and applicability of numerical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-08-07 Ali Devran Kara , Naci Saldi , Serdar Yüksel

We observe that the technique of Markov contraction can be used to establish measure concentration for a broad class of non-contracting chains. In particular, geometric ergodicity provides a simple and versatile framework. This leads to a…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-06 Aryeh Kontorovich , Roi Weiss
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