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The difference diffusion model with two equilibrium states is given by a stochastic equation with two components: the predicted one, which is determined by the regression function of increments with two equilibriums, and the stochastic one,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-11 D. Koroliouk , V. S. Koroliuk

We examine characteristic properties of deterministic and stochastic diffusion in low-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems. As an example, we consider a periodic array of scatterers defined by a simple chaotic map on the line. Adding…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 R. Klages

Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

In this article, we study the dynamics of a nonlinear system governed by an ordinary differential equation under the combined influence of fast periodic sampling with period $\delta$ and small jump noise of size $\varepsilon, 0<…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-28 Shivam Singh Dhama

We apply the concept of distance covariance for testing independence of two long-range dependent time series. As test statistic we propose a linear combination of empirical distance cross-covariances. We derive the asymptotic distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling

Consider a diffusion process X=(X_t), with t in [0,1], observed at discrete times and high frequency, solution of a stochastic differential equation whose drift and diffusion coefficients are assumed to be unknown. In this article, we focus…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-27 Eddy Ella-Mintsa

For a one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X(t) ; 0\leq t \leq T \}$, we suppose that $X(t)$ is hidden if it is below some fixed and known threshold $\tau$, but otherwise it is visible. This means a partially hidden diffusion process. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-09 Stefano Iacus , Masayuki Uchida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We propose a novel non-parametric learning paradigm for the identification of drift and diffusion coefficients of multi-dimensional non-linear stochastic differential equations, which relies upon discrete-time observations of the state. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

We consider the problem of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with the zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n(\Delta T). For a Gaussian Stationary Process the persistence (no…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 George C. M. A. Ehrhardt , Alan J. Bray , Satya N. Majumdar

In this paper we propose the use of $\phi$-divergences as test statistics to verify simple hypotheses about a one-dimensional parametric diffusion process $\de X_t = b(X_t, \theta)\de t + \sigma(X_t, \theta)\de W_t$, from discrete…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-08-22 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano Iacus

This paper is a survey of recent contributions on estimation in stochastic differential equations with mixed-effects. These models involve N stochastic differential equations with common drift and diffusion functions but random parameters…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-17 Maud Delattre

In this paper we study the randomized non-autonomous complete linear differential equation. The diffusion coefficient and the source term in the differential equation are assumed to be stochastic processes and the initial condition is…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-13 J. Catatayud , J. -C. Cortes , M. Jornet

We consider nonparametric invariant density and drift estimation for a class of multidimensional degenerate resp. hypoelliptic diffusion processes, so-called stochastic damping Hamiltonian systems or kinetic diffusions, under anisotropic…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-24 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems under the assumption that we observe a single time series from the slow process only. We construct estimators for both averaging and homogenization…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-13 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

生物物理 · 物理学 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo
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