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The $b$-value in the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law contains information that is essential for evaluating earthquake hazard and predicting the occurrence of large earthquakes. Estimates of $b$ are often based on seismic events whose magnitude…

地球物理 · 物理学 2018-03-19 Jesper Martinsson , Adam Jonsson

The identification of patterns in space, time, and magnitude, which could potentially encode the subsequent earthquake magnitude, represents a significant challenge in earthquake forecasting. A pivotal aspect of this endeavor involves the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-04-25 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

We propose that the widely observed and universal Gutenberg-Richter relation is a mathematical consequence of the critical branching nature of earthquake process in a brittle fracture environment. These arguments, though preliminary, are…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-03-13 Yan Y. Kagan

The Gutenberg-Richter law is a fundamental empirical law in seismology describing earthquake frequency-magnitude distributions, with one of its key parameters, the so-called b-value, quantifying the relative frequency of small versus large…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Wenbo Pan , Zixin Zhang , Bjorn Lund , Qinghua Lei

The Gutenberg-Richter power law distribution of earthquake sizes is one of the most famous example illustrating self-similarity. It is well-known that the Gutenberg-Richter distribution has to be modified for large seismic moments, due to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-12-07 D. Sornette , A. Sornette

The upper bound earthquake magnitude (maximum possible magnitude) of a truncated Gutenberg-Richter relation is the right truncation point (right end-point) of a truncated exponential distribution and is important in the probabilistic…

地球物理 · 物理学 2018-07-30 Mathias Raschke

The $b$-value in earthquake magnitude-frequency distribution quantifies the relative frequency of large versus small earthquakes. Monitoring its evolution could provide fundamental insights into temporal variations of stress on different…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-06-19 Eugenio Lippiello , Giuseppe Petrillo

It is well accepted that, at the global scale, the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law describing the distribution of earthquake magnitude or seismic moment has to be modified at the tail to properly account for the most extreme events. It is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-11-10 Alvaro Corral , Isabel Serra

A new non-parametric statistic is introduced for the characterization of deviations from power laws. It is tested on the distribution of seismic energies given by the Gutenberg-Richter law. Based on the two first statistical log-moments, it…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 V. Pisarenko , D. Sornette , M. Rodkin

We introduce a new model for an earthquake fault system that is composed of non-interacting simple lattice models with different levels of damage denoted by $q$. The undamaged lattice models ($q=0$) have Gutenberg-Richter scaling with a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-03-17 C. A. Serino , K. F. Tiampo , W. Klein

The distribution of seismic moment is of capital interest to evaluate earthquake hazard, in particular regarding the most extreme events. We make use of likelihood-ratio tests to compare the simple Gutenberg-Richter power-law distribution…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-09-07 Isabel Serra , Álvaro Corral

We make an extensive numerical study of a two dimensional nonconservative model proposed by Olami-Feder-Christensen to describe earthquake behavior. By analyzing the distribution of earthquake sizes using a multiscaling method, we find…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Stefano Lise , Maya Paczuski

Power-law type distributions are extensively found when studying the behaviour of many complex systems. However, due to limitations in data acquisition, empirical datasets often only cover a narrow range of observation, making it difficult…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-12-11 Víctor Navas-Portella , Álvaro González , Isabel Serra , Eduard Vives , Álvaro Corral

The statistics of earthquakes in a heterogeneous fault zone is studied analytically and numerically in the mean field version of a model for a segmented fault system in a three-dimensional elastic solid. The studies focus on the interplay…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Karin Dahmen , Deniz Ertas , Yehuda Ben-Zion

We have written a new equation to study the statistics of earthquake distributions. We call this equation "the generalized logistic equation". The Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude formula was derived from the solution of the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-09-25 Lev A. Maslov , Vladimir M. Anokhin

It was conjectured for a long time that the tectonic plates are in a self-organized state of criticality and that the Gutenberg-Richter law is a manifestation of that. It was recently shown that for a system near criticality, the inequality…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-02-12 Sudip Sarkar , Soumyajyoti Biswas

We propose a new version of the ETAS model, which we also analyze theoretically. As for the standard ETAS model, we assume the Gutenberg-Richter law as a probability density function for background events' magnitude. Instead, the magnitude…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-23 Ilaria Spassiani , Giovanni Sebastiani

The area-characteristic, maximum possible earthquake magnitude $T_M$ is required by the earthquake engineering community, disaster management agencies and the insurance industry. The Gutenberg-Richter law predicts that earthquake magnitudes…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-01-19 Jan Beirlant , Andrzej Kijko , Tom Reynkens , John H. J. Einmahl

Self-similarity may stem from two origins: the process' increments infinite variance and/or process' memory. The $b$-value of the Gutenberg-Richter law comes from the first origin. In the frame of natural time analysis of earthquake data, a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-05 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas

Earthquake phenomenology exhibits a number of power law distributions including the Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size statistics and the Omori law for aftershock decay rates. In search for a basic model that renders correct predictions on…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Amit P. Mehta , Karin A. Dahmen , Yehuda Ben-Zion
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