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We revisit the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model and one of its nonlocal variations recently developed in \cite{Guan}. We introduce several new approaches to derive exact analytical solutions in the classical…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-06-24 Li , Guan , Dong Li , Ke Wang , Kun Zhao

Compartmental models are a tool commonly used in epidemiology for the mathematical modelling of the spread of infectious diseases, with their most popular representative being the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model and its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-19 Lorenz Kummer , Kevin Sidak

Infectious disease modeling and forecasting have played a key role in helping assess and respond to epidemics and pandemics. Recent work has leveraged data on disease peak infection and peak hospital incidence to fit compartmental models…

This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of response also affecting the infectiousness of an…

概率论 · 数学 2010-05-26 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , David Sirl

There are many sources of data giving information about the number of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the population, but all have major drawbacks, including biases and delayed reporting. For example, the number of confirmed cases largely…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Nicholas J. Irons , Adrian E. Raftery

The SIRS process is a continuous-time process for how infections spread on a graph. In this model, each vertex is in one of the following three states: susceptible (to the infection; S), infected (I), or recovered (R) and thus immune to the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-20 Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca

The paper describes and compares three approaches to modeling an epidemic spread. The first approach is a well-known system of SIR ordinary differential equations. The second is a mean-field model, in which an isolation strategy for each…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-11-06 Viktoriya Petrakova , Olga Krivorotko

Social networks are an important infrastructure for information, viruses and innovations propagation. Since users behavior has influenced by other users activity, some groups of people would be made regard to similarity of users interests.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-09-30 Hamidreza Sotoodeh , Farshad Safaei , Arghavan Sanei , Elahe Daei

The susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and its variants form the foundation of our understanding of the spread of diseases. Here, each agent can be in one of three states (susceptible, infected, or recovered), and transitions…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2023-12-25 Claudia Merger , Jasper Albers , Carsten Honerkamp , Moritz Helias

Epidemic modeling in complex networks has become one of the latest topics in recent times. The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model and its variants are often used for epidemic modeling. One important issue in epidemic modeling is…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Aybike Simsek

The ability to actually implement epidemic models is a crucial stake for public institutions, as they may be overtaken by the increasing complexity of current models and sometimes tend to revert to less elaborate models such as the SIR. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-12-19 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

We propose a nonstandard finite difference scheme for the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) continuous model. We prove that our discretized system is dynamically consistent with its continuous counterpart and we derive its exact solution.…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-09-17 Márcia Lemos-Silva , Sandra Vaz , Delfim F. M. Torres

Networked SIR models have become essential workhorses in the modeling of epidemics, their inception, propagation and control. Here, and building on this venerable tradition, we report on the emergence of a remarkable self-organization of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-05-16 Sara Najem , Leonid Klushin , Jihad Touma

We present a stochastic model for two successive SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemics in the same network structured population. Individuals infected during the first epidemic might have (partial) immunity for the second one.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-10-29 Frank Ball , Abid Ali Lashari , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

In this paper, we study the dynamics of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model on a network with community structure, namely the stochastic block model (SBM). As usual, the SIR model is a stochastic model for an epidemic where…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-10 Christian Borgs , Karissa Huang , Christian Ikeokwu

The SIR model with spatially inhomogeneous infection rate is studied with numerical simulations in one, two, and three dimensions, considering the case that the infection spreads inhomogeneously in densely populated regions or hot spots. We…

医学物理 · 物理学 2020-12-25 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Yuta Nakao

Epidemic models are increasingly used in real-world networks to understand diffusion phenomena (such as the spread of diseases, emotions, innovations, failures) or the transport of information (such as news, memes in social on-line…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-06 Piet Van Mieghem

Let S,I and R be susceptible, infected and recovered populations in a city affected by an epidemic. The SIR model of Lee, Liu, Tembine, Li and Osher, \emph{SIAM J. Appl. Math.},~81, 190--207, 2021 of the spatiotemoral spread of epidemics is…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-01-05 Michael V. Klibanov , Jingzhi Li , Zhipeng Yang

We consider the problem of identifying an infection source based only on an observed set of infected nodes in a network, assuming that the infection process follows a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model. We derive an estimator…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-09-17 Wuqiong Luo , Wee Peng Tay

We propose a novel SIR epidemic model which is driven by the transmission of infection packets in networks. Specifically, infected nodes generate and deliver infection packets causing the spread of the epidemic, while recovered nodes block…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-01-20 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang
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