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Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

Basket trials test a single therapeutic treatment on several patient populations under one master protocol. A desirable adaptive design feature in these studies may be the incorporation of new baskets to an ongoing study. Limited basket…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-09 Libby Daniells , Pavel Mozgunov , Helen Barnett , Alun Bedding , Thomas Jaki

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm

The use of patient-level information from previous studies, registries, and other external datasets can support the analysis of single-arm and randomized controlled trials to evaluate and test experimental treatments. However, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Gopal Kotecha , Daniel E. Schwartz , Steffen Ventz , Lorenzo Trippa

Hypothesis testing of structure in correlation and covariance matrices is of broad interest in many application areas. In high dimensions and/or small to moderate sample sizes, high error rates in testing is a substantial concern. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Ziyang Ding , David Dunson

In the design of clinical trials, it is essential to assess the design operating characteristics (e.g., power and the type I error rate). Common practice for the evaluation of operating characteristics in Bayesian clinical trials relies on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Luke Hagar , Shirin Golchi

The model-X conditional randomization test is a generic framework for conditional independence testing, unlocking new possibilities to discover features that are conditionally associated with a response of interest while controlling type-I…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Shalev Shaer , Yaniv Romano

Leveraging external controls -- relevant individual patient data under control from external trials or real-world data -- has the potential to reduce the cost of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) while increasing the proportion of trial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Yanyao Yi , Ying Zhang , Yu Du , Ting Ye

Hybrid randomized controlled trials (hybrid RCTs) integrate external control data, such as historical or concurrent data, with data from randomized trials. While numerous frequentist and Bayesian methods, such as the test-then-pool and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Han Chang Chiam , Franz König , Martin Posch

Basket trials are increasingly used for the simultaneous evaluation of a new treatment in various patient subgroups under one overarching protocol. We propose a Bayesian approach to sample size determination in basket trials that permit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-02 Haiyan Zheng , Michael J. Grayling , Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

Over time, clinical trials have increasingly incorporated complex design and analysis elements such as interim analyses, adaptations, multiple endpoints, and sophisticated multiplicity schemes for multiple endpoints and/or treatment arms…

Bayesian statistics plays a pivotal role in advancing medical science by enabling healthcare companies, regulators, and stakeholders to assess the safety and efficacy of new treatments, interventions, and medical procedures. The Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-04 Se Yoon Lee

Borrowing external data can improve estimation efficiency but may introduce bias when populations differ in covariate distributions or outcome variability. A proper balance needs to be maintained between the two datasets to justify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-08 Apu Chandra Das , Sakib Salam , Aninda Roy , Rakhi Chowdhury , Antar Chandra Das , Ashim Chandra Das

Externally controlled trials (ECTs) are increasingly used when randomized controls are infeasible, unethical, or insufficient, including applications in rare diseases, oncology, pediatrics, and post-approval effectiveness research. Although…

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

Research in oncology has changed the focus from histological properties of tumors in a specific organ to a specific genomic aberration potentially shared by multiple cancer types. This motivates the basket trial, which assesses the efficacy…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-11 Jin Jin , Marie-Karelle Riviere , Xiaodong Luo , Yingwen Dong

Adaptive enrichment trials aim to identify and recruit participants most likely to benefit from treatment based on evolving biomarker evidence, with the goal of informing individualized treatment recommendations. Bayesian methods are well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often suffer from limited inferential efficiency in estimating treatment effects due to their small sample sizes. In recent years, incorporating external controls (ECs) has gained increasing attention as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Qinwei Yang , Jingyi Li , Peng Wu , Shu Yang

Randomized clinical trials are the gold standard for analyzing treatment effects, but high costs and ethical concerns can limit recruitment, potentially leading to invalid inferences. Incorporating external trial data with similar…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Yujia Gu , Hanzhong Liu , Wei Ma

Many observational studies and clinical trials collect various secondary outcomes that may be highly correlated with the primary endpoint. These secondary outcomes are often analyzed in secondary analyses separately from the main data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-08 Chixiang Chen , Ming Wang , Shuo Chen