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Estimating the predictive uncertainty of a Bayesian learning model is critical in various decision-making problems, e.g., reinforcement learning, detecting adversarial attack, self-driving car. As the model posterior is almost always…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Yufei Cui , Wuguannan Yao , Qiao Li , Antoni B. Chan , Chun Jason Xue

Bayesian coresets speed up posterior inference in the large-scale data regime by approximating the full-data log-likelihood function with a surrogate log-likelihood based on a small, weighted subset of the data. But while Bayesian coresets…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-18 Trevor Campbell

Modern applications routinely collect high-dimensional data, leading to statistical models having more parameters than there are samples available. A common solution is to impose sparsity in parameter estimation, often using penalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Paolo Onorati , David B. Dunson , Antonio Canale

In recent years, the shortcomings of Bayesian posteriors as inferential devices have received increased attention. A popular strategy for fixing them has been to instead target a Gibbs measure based on losses that connect a parameter of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-24 David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Christopher Drovandi

We derive explicit non-asymptotic PAC-Bayes generalization bounds for Gibbs posteriors, that is, data-dependent distributions over model parameters obtained by exponentially tilting a prior with the empirical risk. Unlike classical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Chenyang Wang , Yun Yang

Data uncertainty in practical person reID is ubiquitous, hence it requires not only learning the discriminative features, but also modeling the uncertainty based on the input. This paper proposes to learn the sample posterior and the class…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-20 Yan Zhang , Zhilin Zheng , Binyu He , Li Sun

Non-Gaussian outcomes are often modeled using members of the so-called exponential family. Notorious members are the Bernoulli model for binary data, leading to logistic regression, and the Poisson model for count data, leading to Poisson…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-14 Geert Molenberghs , Geert Verbeke , Clarice G. B. Demétrio , Afrânio M. C. Vieira

We present the Mixed Likelihood Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM), capable of modeling data with attributes of different types. The standard formulation of GP-LVM assumes that each observation is drawn from a Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Samuel Murray , Hedvig Kjellström

There lies a latent danger in utilizing some known mathematical results in ecology. Some results do not apply to the problem at hand. We identify one such trend. Based on a couple of theorems in mathematical statistics, Link (2013) cautions…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-09 Arjun M. Gopalaswamy , Mohan Delampady

The Rician distribution, a well-known statistical distribution frequently encountered in fields like magnetic resonance imaging and wireless communications, is particularly useful for describing many real phenomena such as signal process…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Jesus Enrique Achire Quispe , Eduardo Ramos , Pedro Luiz Ramos

Bayesian models based on Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible framework to predict spatially distributed variables with uncertainty. But the use of nonstationary priors, often necessary for capturing complex spatial patterns, makes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Gabriel V Cardoso , Mike Pereira

In logistic regression, separation occurs when a linear combination of the predictors can perfectly classify part or all of the observations in the sample, and as a result, finite maximum likelihood estimates of the regression coefficients…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-10 Joyee Ghosh , Yingbo Li , Robin Mitra

Gaussian Process Networks (GPNs) are a class of directed graphical models which employ Gaussian processes as priors for the conditional expectation of each variable given its parents in the network. The model allows the description of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Enrico Giudice , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

In this present work, we discuss the Bayesian inference for the bivariate pseudo-exponential distribution. Initially, we assume independent gamma priors and then pseudo-gamma priors for the pseudo-exponential parameters. We are primarily…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Banoth Veeranna

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) allows one to generate dependent replicates from a posterior distribution for effectively any Bayesian hierarchical model. However, MCMC can produce a significant computational burden. This motivates us to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-22 Jonathan R. Bradley , Madelyn Clinch

Substantial research on structured sparsity has contributed to analysis of many different applications. However, there have been few Bayesian procedures among this work. Here, we develop a Bayesian model for structured sparsity that uses a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-09 Barbara E. Engelhardt , Ryan P. Adams

This paper introduces posterior mean matching (PMM), a new method for generative modeling that is grounded in Bayesian inference. PMM uses conjugate pairs of distributions to model complex data of various modalities like images and text,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Sebastian Salazar , Michal Kucer , Yixin Wang , Emily Casleton , David Blei

This paper develops some objective priors for certain parameters of the bivariate normal distribution. The parameters considered are the regression coefficient, the generalized variance, and the ratio of the conditional variance of one…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Malay Ghosh , Upasana Santra , Dalho Kim