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Heavy-tailed probability distributions are extremely useful and play a crucial role in modeling different types of financial data sets. This study presents a two-pronged methodology. First, a mixture probability distribution is created by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Pankaj Kumar , Vivek Vijay

In this paper we consider the problem of computing tail probabilities of the distribution of a random sum of positive random variables. We assume that the individual variables follow a reproducible natural exponential family (NEF)…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-09 Shaul Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

We offer two novel characterizations of the Zeta distribution: first, as tractable continuous mixtures of Negative Binomial distributions (with fixed shape parameter, r > 0), and second, as a tractable continuous mixture of Poisson…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-07 Jiansheng Dai , Ziheng Huang , Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

The issue of combining individual $p$-values to aggregate multiple small effects is prevalent in many scientific investigations and is a long-standing statistical topic. Many classical methods are designed for combining independent and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-08 Yusi Fang , George C. Tseng , Chung Chang

In this paper we introduce and study several multivariate, heavy-tailed distribution classes, and we explore their closure properties and their applications. We consider the class of multivariate, positively decreasing distributions, and…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Heavy-tailed distributions are found throughout many naturally occurring phenomena. We have reviewed the models of stochastic dynamics that lead to heavy-tailed distributions (and power law distributions, in particular) including the…

数学物理 · 物理学 2011-05-09 Ph. Blanchard , T. Krueger , D. Volchenkov

In reinsurance, Poisson and Negative binomial distributions are employed for modeling frequency. However, the incomplete data regarding reported incurred claims above a priority level presents challenges in estimation. This paper focuses on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Nicolas Baradel

Modeling uncertainty in heavy-tailed time series remains a critical challenge for deep probabilistic forecasting models, which often struggle to capture abrupt, extreme events. While L\'evy stable distributions offer a natural framework for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Heavy tails are often found in practice, and yet they are an Achilles heel of a variety of mainstream random probability measures such as the Dirichlet process (DP). The first contribution of this paper focuses on characterizing the tails…

This paper proposes a new generalized linear model with the fractional binomial distribution. Zero-inflated Poisson/negative binomial distributions are used for count data with many zeros. To analyze the association of such a count variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-01 Jeonghwa Lee , Chloe Breece

Gini-type correlation coefficients have become increasingly important in a variety of research areas, including economics, insurance and finance, where modelling with heavy-tailed distributions is of pivotal importance. In such situations,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-12 Edward Furman , Ricardas Zitikis

Handling multiplicity without losing much power has been a persistent challenge in various fields that often face the necessity of managing numerous statistical tests simultaneously. Recently, $p$-value combination methods based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-06 Yeonwoo Rho

This paper proposes a robust Bayesian accelerated failure time model for censored survival data. We develop a new family of life-time distributions using a scale mixture of the generalized gamma distributions, where we propose a novel super…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-16 Yasuyuki Hamura , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In this paper we present a novel methodology to perform Bayesian model selection in linear models with heavy-tailed distributions. We consider a finite mixture of distributions to model a latent variable where each component of the mixture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-21 Flávio B Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Victor H. Lachos

Continuous mixtures of distributions are widely employed in the statistical literature as models for phenomena with highly divergent outcomes; in particular, many familiar heavy-tailed distributions arise naturally as mixtures of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-10 Carter T. Butts

We introduce a new class of heavy-tailed distributions for which any weighted average of independent and identically distributed random variables is larger than one such random variable in (usual) stochastic order. We show that many…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-18 Yuyu Chen , Seva Shneer

Considerable literature has been devoted to developing statistical inferential results for risk measures, especially for those that are of the form of L-functionals. However, practical and theoretical considerations have highlighted quite a…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-31 Abdelhakim Necir , Ričardas Zitikis

Stable distributions are of fundamental importance in probability theory, yet their absolute continuity makes them unsuitable for modeling count data. A discrete analog of strict stability has been previously proposed by replacing scaling…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-09 F. William Townes

Modelling non-homogeneous and multi-component data is a problem that challenges scientific researchers in several fields. In general, it is not possible to find a simple and closed form probabilistic model to describe such data. That is why…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Nehla Debbabi , Marie Kratz , Mamadou Mboup

Heavy-tailed distributions have been studied in statistics, random matrix theory, physics, and econometrics as models of correlated systems, among other domains. Further, heavy-tail distributed eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-25 John Y. Shin