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We consider the problem of conditional independence (CI) testing and adopt a kernel-based approach. Kernel-based CI tests embed variables in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, regress their embeddings on the conditioning variables, and test…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Luca Bergen , Dino Sejdinovic , Vanessa Didelez

Utilizing non-concurrent control data (NCC) in the analysis of late-entering arms in platform trials has recently received considerable attention. While incorporating NCC can lead to increased power and lower sample sizes, it might…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-12 Pavla Krotka , Martin Posch , Mohamed Gewily , Günter Höglinger , Marta Bofill Roig

The transient time correlation function (TTCF) method is widely used in molecular fluids to compute non-equilibrium transport quantities, providing improved signal-to-noise ratios in ensemble averages without requiring prohibitively large…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-03-30 Manuel Santos-Gutierrez , Valerio Lucarini , John Moroney , Niccolo Zagli

Clustered and longitudinal data are pervasive in scientific studies, from prenatal health programs to clinical trials and public health surveillance. Such data often involve non-Gaussian responses--including binary, categorical, and count…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Yibo Wang , Chenlei Leng , Cheng Yong Tang

The problem of Non-Gaussian Component Analysis (NGCA) is about finding a maximal low-dimensional subspace $E$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ so that data points projected onto $E$ follow a non-gaussian distribution. Although this is an appropriate model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-05 Yan Shuo Tan , Roman Vershynin

Continuous time random walks are non-Markovian stochastic processes, which are only partly characterized by single-time probability distributions. We derive a closed evolution equation for joint two-point probability density functions of a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 A. Baule , R. Friedrich

The generalized inverse Gaussian-Poisson (GIGP) distribution proposed by Sichel in the 1970s has proved to be a flexible fitting tool for diverse frequency data, collectively described using the item production model. In this paper, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-16 Leonid V. Bogachev , Ruheyan Nuermaimaiti , Jochen Voss

Estimation of the service time distribution in the discrete-time $GI/G/\infty$-queue based solely on information on the arrival and departure processes is considered. The focus is put on the estimation approach via the so called "sequence…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-19 Sebastian Schweer , Cornelia Wichelhaus

Deploying trustworthy AI systems requires principled uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a widely used framework for constructing prediction sets with distribution-free coverage guarantees. In many practical settings,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Haifeng Wen , Osvaldo Simeone , Hong Xing

Following the theory of information measures based on the cumulative distribution function, we propose the fractional generalized cumulative entropy, and its dynamic version. These entropies are particularly suitable to deal with…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-30 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Suchandan Kayal , Alessandra Meoli

In molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, accessing transition probabilities between states is crucial for understanding kinetic information, such as reaction paths and rates. However, standard MD simulations are hindered by the capacity to…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-08-07 Yanbin Wang , Jakub Rydzewski , Ming Chen

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

We propose a procedure to reconstruct characteristic features of an unknown stochastic system from the long-time full counting statistics of some of the system's transitions that are monitored by a detector. The full counting statistics is…

介观与纳米尺度物理 · 物理学 2017-02-13 Philipp Stegmann , Jürgen König

The generalized negative binomial distribution (GNB) is a new flexible family of discrete distributions that are mixed Poisson laws with the mixing generalized gamma (GG) distributions. This family of discrete distributions is very wide and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Andrey K. Gorshenin , Victor Yu. Korolev

This paper presents a unified framework for understanding the methodology and theory behind several different methods in the conformal prediction literature, which includes standard conformal prediction (CP), weighted conformal prediction…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-23 Rina Foygel Barber , Ryan J. Tibshirani

This paper proposes a non-centered parameterization based infinite-dimensional mean-field variational inference (NCP-iMFVI) approach for solving the hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems. This method can generate available estimates from…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-09 Jiaming Sui , Junxiong Jia

We propose a contrast-based estimation method for Gaussian processes with time-inhomogeneous drifts, observed under high-frequency sampling. The process is modeled as the sum of a deterministic drift function and a stationary Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-07 Yasutaka Shimizu

In this paper we propose a generalized Gaussian process concurrent regression model for functional data where the functional response variable has a binomial, Poisson or other non-Gaussian distribution from an exponential family while the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-03 Bo Wang , Jian Qing Shi

Transformed Gaussian Processes (TGPs) are stochastic processes specified by transforming samples from the joint distribution from a prior process (typically a GP) using an invertible transformation; increasing the flexibility of the base…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-03 Francisco Javier Sáez-Maldonado , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Hernández-Lobato