相关论文: Multi seasonal discrete time risk model revisited
In this paper, we set up the distribution function $$ \varphi(u)=\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{n\geqslant 1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_i-\kappa\right)<u\right), $$ and the generating function of $\varphi(u+1)$, where $u\in\mathbb{N}_0$,…
This paper proceeds an approximate calculation of ultimate time survival probability for bi-seasonal discrete time risk model when premium rate equals two. The same model with income rate equal to one was investigated in 2014 by Damarackas…
This paper deals with the discrete-time risk model with nonidentically distributed claims. We suppose that the claims repeat with time periods of three units, that is, claim distributions coincide at times $\{1,4,7,\ldots\}$, at times…
In this work we set up the generating function of the ultimate time survival probability $\varphi(u+1)$, where $$\varphi(u)=\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{n\geqslant 1}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_i-\kappa\right)<u\right)$$ and…
The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.
We study the discrete time risk process modelled by the skip-free random walk and we derive the results connected to the ruin probability, such as crossing the fixed level, for this kind of process. We use the method relying on the…
We consider a general discrete-time branching random walk on a countable set X. We relate local, strong local and global survival with suitable inequalities involving the first-moment matrix M of the process. In particular we prove that,…
We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…
We consider random walks, say $W_n=(M_0, M_1,\dots, M_n)$, of length $n$ starting at 0 and based on the martingale sequence $M_k$ with differences $X_m=M_m-M_{m-1}$. Assuming that the differences are bounded, $|X_m|\leq 1$, we solve the…
This paper is a collection of recent results on discrete-time and continuous-time branching random walks. Some results are new and others are known. Many aspects of this theory are considered: local, global and strong local survival, the…
In this work, we propose a simplification of the Pollaczek-Khinchine formula for the ultimate time survival (or ruin) probability calculation in exchange for a few assumptions on the random variables which generate the renewal risk model.…
Let $T\$ be a stopping time associated with a sequence of independent random variables $Z_{1},Z_{2},...$ . By applying a suitable change in the probability measure we present relations between the moment or probability generating functions…
We are interested in the behaviour of the range and of the first return time to the origin of random walks in random scenery. As a byproduct a precise estimate of the survival probability in the Matheron and de Marsily model is obtained.…
In this paper, we study the dynamics of a random walker diffusing on a disordered one-dimensional lattice with random trappings. The distribution of escape probabilities is computed exactly for any strength of the disorder. These…
In this paper the multi-dimensional random walk models governed by distributed fractional order differential equations and multi-term fractional order differential equations are constructed. The scaling limits of these random walks to a…
Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…
We analyze the dynamics of a population of independent random walkers on a graph and develop a simple model of epidemic spreading. We assume that each walker visits independently the nodes of a finite ergodic graph in a discrete-time…
In this paper the multi-dimensional random walk models governed by distributed fractional order differential equations and multi-term fractional order differential equations are constructed. The scaling limits of these random walks to a…
Marginal structural models (MSMs) are often used to estimate causal effects of treatments on survival time outcomes from observational data when time-dependent confounding may be present. They can be fitted using, e.g., inverse probability…
We introduce the following discrete time model. Each natural number represents an ecological niche and is assigned a fitness in $(0,1)$. All the sites are updated simultaneously at every discrete time. At any given time the environment may…