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We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Marco Dalla Pria , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

Semi-Markov processes are Markovian processes in which the firing time of the transitions is modelled by probabilistic distributions over positive reals interpreted as the probability of firing a transition at a certain moment in time. In…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2017-12-04 Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Giorgio Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Radu Mardare

We introduce an extension of finite mixture models by incorporating skew-normal distributions within a Hidden Markov Model framework. By assuming a constant transition probability matrix and allowing emission distributions to vary according…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Andrea Nigri , Marco Forti , Han Lin Shang

Semi-Markov processes are a generalization of Markov processes since the exponential distribution of time intervals is replaced with an arbitrary distribution. This paper provides an integro-differential form of the Kolmogorov's backward…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-20 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

In this paper, we outline a model of graph (or network) dynamics based on two ingredients. The first ingredient is a Markov chain on the space of possible graphs. The second ingredient is a semi-Markov counting process of renewal type. The…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-28 Marco Raberto , Fabio Rapallo , Enrico Scalas

We study the connections existing between max-infinitely divisible distributions and Poisson processes from the point of view of functional analysis. More precisely, we derive functional identities for the former by using well-known results…

泛函分析 · 数学 2025-09-03 Bruno Costacèque-Cecchi , Laurent Decreusefond

We introduce the concept of a Markov influence system (MIS) and analyze its dynamics. An MIS models a random walk in a graph whose edges and transition probabilities change endogenously as a function of the current distribution. This…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2019-03-28 Bernard Chazelle

Statistical models for multivariate data often include a semi-orthogonal matrix parameter. In many applications, there is reason to expect that the semi-orthogonal matrix parameter satisfies a structural assumption such as sparsity or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Michael Jauch , Marie-Christine Düker , Peter Hoff

In the last years, many authors studied a class of continuous time semi-Markov processes obtained by time-changing Markov processes by hitting times of independent subordinators. Such processes are governed by integro-differential…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-24 Angelica Pachon , Federico Polito , Costantino Ricciuti

A new family of tree-structured Markov random fields for a vector of discrete counting random variables is introduced. According to the characteristics of the family, the marginal distributions of the Markov random fields are all Poisson…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-20 Benjamin Côté , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

We introduce a new approach to model and analyze \emph{Mobility}. It is fully based on discrete mathematics and yields a class of mobility models, called the \emph{Markov Trace} Model. This model can be seen as the discrete version of the…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2010-02-05 Andrea Clementi , Angelo Monti , Riccardo Silvestri

We study the distribution of residence time or equivalently that of ``mean magnetization" for a family of Gaussian Markov processes indexed by a positive parameter $\alpha$. The persistence exponent for these processes is simply given by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Abhishek Dhar , Satya N. Majumdar

In the context of survival analysis, Marshall and Olkin (1997) introduced families of distributions by adding a scalar parameter to a given survival function, parameterized or not. In that paper, we generalize their approach. We show how it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-21 Damien Bousquet , Jean-Pierre Daurès , Jean-Michel Marin

We study a discrete time multitype branching random walk on a finite space with finite set of types. Particles follow a Markov chain on the spatial space whereas offspring distributions are given by a random field that is fixed throughout…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-30 Onur Gün , Wolfgang König , Ozren Sekulović

A phase-type distribution is the distribution of the time until absorption in a finite state-space time-homogeneous Markov jump process, with one absorbing state and the rest being transient. These distributions are mathematically tractable…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-08 Martin Bladt , Jorge Yslas

We analyze quasi-stationary distributions $\{\mu^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ of a family of Markov chains $\{X^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ that are random perturbations of a bounded, continuous map $F:M\to M$, where $M$ is a…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-16 Mathieu Faure , Sebastian J. Schreiber

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are versatile models for anomalous diffusion processes that have found widespread application in the quantitative sciences. Their scaling limits are typically non-Markovian, and the computation of their…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-25 Mark M. Meerschaert , Peter Straka

We consider Hidden Markov Models that emit sequences of observations that are drawn from continuous distributions. For example, such a model may emit a sequence of numbers, each of which is drawn from a uniform distribution, but the support…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2020-09-29 Oscar Darwin , Stefan Kiefer

We study discrete-time, discrete-state multistate Markov models from the perspective of algebraic statistics. These models are widely studied in event history analysis, and are characterized by the state space, the initial distribution and…

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi