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We present a heuristic argument for the propensity of Topological Data Analysis (TDA) to detect early warning signals of critical transitions in financial time series. Our argument is based on the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS)…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-04-17 Samuel W. Akingbade , Marian Gidea , Matteo Manzi , Vahid Nateghi

Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial instruments with more and more new retail investors joining the scene with each passing day. Bitcoin has always proved to determine in which way the rest of the cryptocurrency market is headed…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-22 Rahul Arulkumaran , Suyash Kumar , Shikha Tomar , Manideep Gongalla , Harshitha

Social media have quickly become a prevalent channel to access information, spread ideas, and influence opinions. However, it has been suggested that social and algorithmic filtering may cause exposure to less diverse points of view, and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-10-30 Dimitar Nikolov , Diego F. M. Oliveira , Alessandro Flammini , Filippo Menczer

One of the defining features of Bitcoin and the thousands of cryptocurrencies that have been derived from it is a globally visible transaction ledger. While Bitcoin uses pseudonyms as a way to hide the identity of its participants, a long…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-05-30 George Kappos , Haaroon Yousaf , Rainer Stütz , Sofia Rollet , Bernhard Haslhofer , Sarah Meiklejohn

Accurately assessing financial risk requires capturing both individual asset volatility and the complex, asymmetric dependence structures that emerge during extreme market events. While modern diffusion-based models have advanced…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-20 David Huk , Dongshan Wang , Miha Bresar

An explosion of interest in Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) has led to the emergence of vibrant online marketplaces that enable users to buy, sell and create digital assets. Largely considered contractual representations of digital artworks,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Sarah Barrington

The problem of anomaly detection has been studied for a long time. In short, anomalies are abnormal or unlikely things. In financial networks, thieves and illegal activities are often anomalous in nature. Members of a network want to detect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-28 Thai Pham , Steven Lee

This paper proposes a simple and parsimonious discrete-time simulation model to describe the endogenous formation and periodic collapse of financial bubbles. While existing literature has extensively explored the statistical properties of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-05-05 Naohiro Yoshida

The use of Social media to share content is on a constant rise. One of the capsize effect of information sharing on Social media includes the spread of sensitive information on the public domain. With the digital gadget market becoming…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Neha Kumaru , Garvit Gupta , Shreyas Mongia , Shubham Singh , Ponnurangam Kumaraguru , Arun Balaji Buduru

The first six months of 2018 saw cryptocurrency thefts of $761 million, and the technology is also the latest and greatest tool for money laundering. This increase in crime has caused both researchers and law enforcement to look for ways to…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-03-16 Mansoor Ahmed-Rengers , Ilia Shumailov , Ross Anderson

Recent advancements in money laundering detection have demonstrated the potential of using graph neural networks to capture laundering patterns accurately. However, existing models are not explicitly designed to detect the diverse patterns…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-08-19 Yasaman Samadi , Hai Dong , Xiaoyu Xia

Cryptocurrency, the most controversial and simultaneously the most interesting asset, has attracted many investors and speculators in recent years. The visibly significant market capitalization of cryptos also motivates modern financial…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-10 Junjie Hu , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Weiyu Kuo

Blockchain technology has revolutionized financial markets by enabling decentralized exchanges (DEXs) that operate without intermediaries. Uniswap V2, a leading DEX, facilitates the rapid creation and trading of new tokens, which offer high…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-18 Manuel Naviglio , Francesco Tarantelli , Fabrizio Lillo

Social events reflect the dynamics of society and, here, natural disasters and emergencies receive significant attention. The timely detection of these events can provide organisations and individuals with valuable information to reduce or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Zitai Qiu , Jia Wu , Jian Yang , Xing Su , Charu C. Aggarwal

Cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, in particular, are prone to wild swings resulting in frequent jumps in prices, making them historically popular for traders to speculate. A better understanding of these fluctuations can greatly benefit crypto…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-17 Edson Pindza , Jules Clement Mba , Sutene Mwambi , Nneka Umeorah

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

Reddit's WallStreetBets (WSB) community has come to prominence in light of its notable role in affecting the stock prices of what are now referred to as meme stocks. Yet very little is known about the reliability of the highly speculative…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-05-07 Tolga Buz , Gerard de Melo

Correlations between random variables play an important role in applications, e.g.\ in financial analysis. More precisely, accurate estimates of the correlation between financial returns are crucial in portfolio management. In particular,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-31 Pedro Galeano , Dominik Wied

Research on social bot detection plays a crucial role in maintaining the order and reliability of information dissemination while increasing trust in social interactions. The current mainstream social bot detection models rely on black-box…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Hao Peng , Jingyun Zhang , Xiang Huang , Zhifeng Hao , Angsheng Li , Zhengtao Yu , Philip S. Yu

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun
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