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We propose some numerical schemes for forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) based on a new fundamental concept of transposition solutions. These schemes exploit time-splitting methods for the variation of constants…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-05-01 Kazufumi Ito , Yufei Zhang , Jun Zou

In this paper, we define a notion of second-order backward stochastic differential equations with jumps (2BSDEJs for short), which generalizes the continuous case considered by Soner, Touzi and Zhang [Probab. Theory Related Fields 153…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-10 Nabil Kazi-Tani , Dylan Possamaï , Chao Zhou

The ultimate goal of regression analysis is to obtain information about the conditional distribution of a response given a set of explanatory variables. This goal is, however, seldom achieved because most established regression models only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-13 Torsten Hothorn , Thomas Kneib , Peter Bühlmann

In this paper we obtain a comparison theorem for backward stochastic partial differential equation (SPDEs) with jumps. We apply it to introduce space-dependent convex risk measures as a model for risk in large systems of interacting…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-19 Bernt Øksendal , Agnès Sulem , Tusheng Zhang

In the target tracking and its engineering applications, recursive state estimation of the target is of fundamental importance. This paper presents a recursive performance bound for dynamic estimation and filtering problem, in the framework…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-06-04 Huisi Tong , Hao Zhang , Huadong Meng , Xiqin Wang

We propose a recursive Bayesian estimation procedure for multivariate autoregressive models with exogenous inputs based on message passing in a factor graph. Unlike recursive least-squares, our method produces full posterior distributions…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-04 T. N. Nisslbeck , Wouter M. Kouw

In this paper we present a new methodology for option pricing. The main idea consists to represent a generic probability distribution function (PDF) via a perturbative expansion around a given, simpler, PDF (typically a gaussian function)…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Marco Airoldi

A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In this paper, an optimal switching problem is proposed for one-dimensional reflected backward stochastic differential equations (RBSDEs, for short) where the generators, the terminal values and the barriers are all switched with positive…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-03 Shanjian Tang , Wei Zhong , Hyeng Keun Koo

We develop and test a fast and accurate semi-analytical formula for single-name default swaptions in the context of a shifted square root jump diffusion (SSRJD) default intensity model. The model can be calibrated to the CDS term structure…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2008-12-23 Damiano Brigo , Naoufel El-Bachir

We provide a bound for the error committed when using a Fourier method to price European options when the underlying follows an exponential \levy dynamic. The price of the option is described by a partial integro-differential equation…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-12-01 Fabián Crocce , Juho Häppölä , Jonas Kiessling , Raúl Tempone

In this paper we examine non-convex dynamic optimization problems with forward looking constraints. We prove that the recursive multiplier formulation in \cite{marcet2019recursive} gives the optimal value if one assumes that the planner has…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-26 Chengfeng Shen , Felix Kübler , Zhennan Zhou

For a linear combination of random variables, fix some confidence level and consider the quantile of the combination at this level. We are interested in the partial derivatives of the quantile with respect to the weights of the random…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Dirk Tasche

Transition risk can be defined as the business-risk related to the enactment of green policies, aimed at driving the society towards a sustainable and low-carbon economy. In particular, the value of certain firms' assets can be lower…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2023-03-23 Giulia Livieri , Davide Radi , Elia Smaniotto

When we plan to use money as an incentive to change the behavior of a person (such as making riders to deliver more orders or making consumers to buy more items), the common approach of this problem is to adopt a two-stage framework in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-08 Juhua Chen , Karson shi , Jialing He , North Chen , Kele Jiang

Several phenomena are available representing market activity: volumes, number of trades, durations between trades or quotes, volatility - however measured - all share the feature to be represented as positive valued time series. When…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-14 Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo

In this paper we analyse financial implications of exchangeability and similar properties of finite dimensional random vectors. We show how these properties are reflected in prices of some basket options in view of the well-known put-call…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-04-05 Ilya Molchanov , Michael Schmutz

We explain the main concepts of Prospect Theory and Cumulative Prospect Theory within the framework of rational dynamic asset pricing theory. We derive option pricing formulas when asset returns are altered with a generalized Prospect…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2020-03-10 Svetlozar Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi , Boryana Racheva-Iotova , Abootaleb Shirvani

We introduced and analyzed robust recovery-based a posteriori error estimators for various lower order finite element approximations to interface problems in [9, 10], where the recoveries of the flux and/or gradient are implicit (i.e.,…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-07-17 Zhiqiang Cai , Shun Zhang

Score-based modeling through stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has provided a new perspective on diffusion models, and demonstrated superior performance on continuous data. However, the gradient of the log-likelihood function, i.e.,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Haoran Sun , Lijun Yu , Bo Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Hanjun Dai