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相关论文: The Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a fluctuating num…

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This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes

We investigate, focusing on the ruin probability, an adaptation of the Cramer-Lundberg model for the surplus process of an insurance company, in which, conditionally on their intensities, the two mixed Poisson processes governing the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-27 Matija Vidmar

Important models in insurance, for example the Carm{\'e}r--Lundberg theory and the Sparre Andersen model, essentially rely on the Poisson process. The process is used to model arrival times of insurance claims. This paper extends the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-16 Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko , Alois Pichler

We study multidimensional Cram\'er-Lundberg risk processes where agents, located on a large sparse network, receive losses form their neighbors. To reduce the dimensionality of the problem, we introduce classification of agents according to…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-15 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Andreea Minca , Agnès Sulem

We study a dynamic model of a non-life insurance portfolio. The foundation of the model is a compound Poisson process that represents the claims side of the insurer. To introduce clusters of claims appearing, e.g. with catastrophic events,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-03 Jonathan Klinge , Maren Diane Schmeck

The classical Cram\'er-Lundberg risk process models the ruin probability of an insurance company experiencing an incoming cash flow - the premium income, and an outgoing cash flow - the claims. From a system's viewpoint, the web of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-13 Rukuang Huang

This paper studies the properties of the Multiply Iterated Poisson Process (MIPP), a stochastic process constructed by repeatedly time-changing a Poisson process, and its applications in ruin theory. Like standard Poisson processes, MIPPs…

Recent studies have demonstrated an interesting connection between the asymptotic behavior at ruin of a L\'evy insurance risk process under the Cram\'er-Lundberg and convolution equivalent conditions. For example, the limiting distributions…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-08 Philip S. Griffin

The large deviation principle on phase space is proved for a class of Markov processes known as random population dynamics with catastrophes. In the paper we study the process which corresponds to the random population dynamics with linear…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-18 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

In the study of complex networks (systems), the scaling phenomenon of flow fluctuations refers to a certain power-law between the mean flux (activity) $<F_i>$ of the $i$th node and its variance $\sigma_i$ as $\sigma_i \propto < F_{i} >…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-05-08 Yudong Chen , Li Li , Yi Zhang , Jianming Hu

Arrival processes to service systems often display fluctuations that are larger than anticipated under the Poisson assumption, a phenomenon that is referred to as overdispersion. Motivated by this, we analyze a class of discrete stochastic…

A Large Deviation Principle (LDP) is established for the stationary distribution of the number of customers in a many--server queue in heavy traffic for a moderate deviation scaling akin to the Halfin--Whitt regime. The interarrival and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-17 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

The configuration model is a sequence of random graphs constructed such that in the large network limit the degree distribution converges to a pre-specified probability distribution. The component structure of such random graphs can be…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

We study large deviations and rare default clustering events in a dynamic large heterogeneous portfolio of interconnected components. Defaults come as Poisson events and the default intensities of the different components in the system…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Richard B. Sowers

In a growing number of strongly disordered and dense systems, the dynamics of a particle pulled by an external force field exhibits super-diffusion. In the context of glass forming systems, super cooled glasses and contamination spreading…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-12-18 Wanli Wang , Alessandro Vezzani , Raffaella Burioni , Eli Barkai

For the M/M/1+M model at the law-of-large-numbers scale, the long run reneging count per unit time does not depend on the individual (i.e., per customer) reneging rate. This paradoxical statement has a simple proof. Less obvious is a large…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-14 Rami Atar , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

We used the random walk to model the problem of reserves. The classic case of a stochastic process is the example of random walks, which are used to study a set of phenomena and, particularly, as in this article, models of reserves…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-22 Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira , José António Filipe

We analyze the probability of ruin for the {\it scaled} classical Cram\'er-Lundberg (CL) risk process and the corresponding diffusion approximation. The scaling, introduced by Iglehart \cite{I1969} to the actuarial literature, amounts to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-18 Asaf Cohen , Virginia R. Young

The continuous time Markov process considered in this paper belongs to a class of population models with linear growth and catastrophes. There, the catastrophes happen at the arrival times of a Poisson process, and at each catastrophe time,…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-14 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev
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