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In this monograph, we prove an asymptotic approximation for integrals of probability densities over sets in finite dimensional euclidean space, which are far away from the origin (asymptotic sets). We use this approximation to investigate…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Philippe Barbe

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

A version of the saddle point method is developed, which allows one to describe exactly the asymptotic behavior of distribution densities of Levy driven stochastic integrals with deterministic kernels. Exact asymptotic behavior is…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-08 Victoria P. Knopova , Alexey M. Kulik

This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-03 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

We investigate the upper tail distribution of the partition function of the directed polymer in a random environment on $\mathbb Z^d$ in the weak disorder phase. We show that the distribution of the infinite volume partition function…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-09 Stefan Junk , Hubert Lacoin

We study the properties of the exponential functional $\int\_0^{+ \infty} e^{- X^{\uparrow} (t)}dt$ where $X^{\uparrow}$ is a spectrally one-sided L{\'e}vy process conditioned to stay positive. In particular, we study finiteness,…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-27 Grégoire Véchambre , Grégoire Vechambre

Let (RU_1, R U_2) be a given bivariate scale mixture random vector, with R>0 being independent of the bivariate random vector (U_1,U_2). In this paper we derive exact asymptotic expansions of the tail probability P{RU_1> x, RU_2> ax}, a \in…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva

The right tail asymptotic series consisting of attenuating exponential terms are derived for the densities of Galton-Watson processes with fractional probability generating functions. The frequencies in the exponential factors form fractal…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-13 Anton A. Kutsenko

The first two terms in the large $N$ asymptotic expansion of the $\beta$ moment of the characteristic polynomial for the Gaussian and Laguerre $\beta$-ensembles are calculated. This is used to compute the asymptotic expansion of the…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Peter J. Forrester

We offer in this paper the non-asymptotical pairwise bilateral exact up to multiplicative constants interrelations between exponential decreasing tail behavior, moments (Grand Lebesgue Spaces) norm and moment generating functions norm for…

泛函分析 · 数学 2017-01-10 Yu. V. Kozachenko , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We tackle the modeling of threshold exceedances in asymptotically independent stochastic processes by constructions based on Laplace random fields. These are defined as Gaussian random fields scaled with a stochastic variable following an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-09 Thomas Opitz

For a subexponential density, so far, there has been no positive conclusion or counter example to show whether it is almost decreasing. In this paper, a subexponential density supported on $\mathbb{R}^+\cup\{0\}$ without the almost decrease…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-21 Tao Jiang , Yuebao Wang , Zhaolei Cui

We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma>0$, to a subclass of the class $\mathcal{S}_\gamma$--see, for example, Chover, Ney, and…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Stan Zachary , Sergey Foss

Loynes' distribution, which characterizes the one dimensional marginal of the stationary solution to Lindley's recursion, possesses an ultimately exponential tail for a large class of increment processes. If one can observe increments but…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-19 Ken R. Duffy , Sean P. Meyn

The present paper is a sequel to and generalization of Fung and Seneta (2016) whose main result gives the asymptotic behaviour as $ u \to 0^{+}$ of $\lambda_L(u) = P(X_1 \leq F_1^{-1}(u) | X_2 \leq F_2^{-1}(u)),$ when $\bf{X} \sim…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-05 Thomas Fung , Eugene Seneta

We study the asymptotics near the origin of the Fourier transform in weighted Hardy spaces of analytic functions in the upper half-plane, and of the Laplace transform in weighted spaces of entire functions of zero exponential type. These…

复变函数 · 数学 2007-05-23 Vladimir Matsaev , Mikhail Sodin

This work is devoted to a vast extension of Sanov's theorem, in Laplace principle form, based on alternatives to the classical convex dual pair of relative entropy and cumulant generating functional. The abstract results give rise to a…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-12 Daniel Lacker

We study the tail behavior of the distribution of the sum of asymptotically independent risks whose marginal distributions belong to the maximal domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. We impose conditions on the distribution of…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-29 Abhimanyu Mitra , Sidney I. Resnick