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Finite state space hidden Markov models are flexible tools to model phenomena with complex time dependencies: any process distribution can be approximated by a hidden Markov model with enough hidden states.We consider the problem of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Luc Lehéricy

Direct preference optimization methods have emerged as a computationally efficient alternative to Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) for aligning Large Language Models (LLMs). Latest approaches have streamlined the alignment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Maksim Afanasyev , Illarion Iov

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin

In response to the challenges posed by the extensive parameter updates required for full fine-tuning of large-scale pre-trained models, parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) methods, exemplified by Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA), have emerged.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-10-11 Junjie Wang , Guangjing Yang , Wentao Chen , Huahui Yi , Xiaohu Wu , Zhouchen Lin , Qicheng Lao

Many events occur in the world. Some event types are stochastically excited or inhibited---in the sense of having their probabilities elevated or decreased---by patterns in the sequence of previous events. Discovering such patterns can help…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-22 Hongyuan Mei , Jason Eisner

Unlike the commonly used parametric regression models such as mixed models, that can easily violate the required statistical assumptions and result in invalid statistical inference, target maximum likelihood estimation allows more realistic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Chi Zhang , Jennifer Ahern , Mark J. van der Laan

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

The assumption of log-concavity is a flexible and appealing nonparametric shape constraint in distribution modelling. In this work, we study the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a probability mass function (pmf). We show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Hanna Jankowski , Kaspar Rufibach , Marios Pavlides

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

In continuous process plants controlled by model predictive control, model-plant mismatch (MPM), due to the aging of processes, causes degradation of control performance. We propose a concept called Model Life Extension (MLE) and its…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-28 Yohe Kono , Minoru Koizumi

Maximum marginal likelihood estimation (MMLE) can be formulated as the optimization of a free energy functional. From this viewpoint, the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm admits a natural interpretation as a coordinate descent method…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Adam Rozzio , Rafael Athanasiades , O. Deniz Akyildiz

Social goods, such as healthcare, smart city, and information networks, often produce ordered event data in continuous time. The generative processes of these event data can be very complex, requiring flexible models to capture their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Shuang Li , Shuai Xiao , Shixiang Zhu , Nan Du , Yao Xie , Le Song

Parameter estimation in logistic regression is a well-studied problem with the Newton-Raphson method being one of the most prominent optimization techniques used in practice. A number of monotone optimization methods including…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Nicholas C. Henderson , Zhongzhe Ouyang

The ability to rigorously estimate the failure rates of large language models (LLMs) is a prerequisite for their safe deployment. Currently, however, practitioners often face a tradeoff between expensive human gold standards and potentially…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Minghe Shen , Ananth Balashankar , Adam Fisch , David Madras , Miguel Rodrigues

The performance of any Machine Learning (ML) algorithm is impacted by the choice of its hyperparameters. As training and evaluating a ML algorithm is usually expensive, the hyperparameter optimization (HPO) method needs to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-12 Alejandro Morales-Hernández , Inneke Van Nieuwenhuyse , Gonzalo Nápoles

We explore the possibility of evaluating flow harmonics by employing the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). For a given finite multiplicity, the MLE simultaneously furnishes estimations for all the parameters of the underlying distribution…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2023-08-16 Chong Ye , Wei-Liang Qian , Rui-Hong Yue , Yogiro Hama , Takeshi Kodama

By integrating two powerful methods of density reduction and intrinsic dimensionality estimation, a new data-driven method, referred to as OLPP-MLE (orthogonal locality preserving projection-maximum likelihood estimation), is introduced for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Jingxin Zhang , Maoyin Chen , Hao Chen , Xia Hong , Donghua Zhou

The paper studies large sample asymptotic properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the parameter of a continuous time Markov chain, observed in white noise. Using the method of weak convergence of likelihoods due to…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-18 Pavel Chigansky

Purpose: We address the challenge of inaccurate parameter estimation in diffusion MRI when the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is very low, as in the spinal cord. The accuracy of conventional maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) depends highly…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are popular as nonlinear regression models for expensive computer simulations, yet GP performance relies heavily on estimation of unknown covariance parameters. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is common, but it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Ayumi Mutoh , Annie S. Booth , Jonathan W. Stallrich