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The purpose of this paper is to identify a relevant statistical correlation between rate of default, RD, and loss given default, LGD, in a major Brazilian financial institution Retail Home Equity exposure rated using the IRB approach, so…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-08-14 Mauro R. Oliveira , Armando Chinelatto Neto

With the use of empirical data, this paper focuses on solving financial and investment issues involving extremal dependence of ten pairwise combinations of the five BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) stock markets. Daily…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-31 Caston Sigauke , Rosinah Mukhodobwane , Wilbert Chagwiza , Winston Garira

We present some indications of inefficiency of the Brazilian stock market based on the existence of strong long-time cross-correlations with foreign markets and indices. Our results show a strong dependence on foreign markets indices as the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-19 Tarcisio M. Rocha Filho , Paulo M. M. Rocha

Mutual information minimum spanning trees are used to explore nonlinear dependencies on Brazilian equity network in the periods from June/01/2015 to January/26/2016, in which Brazil was under the government of President Dilma Rousseff, and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-05-09 A. Q. Barbi , G. A. Prataviera

We study stock market instability by using cross-correlations constructed from the return time series of 366 stocks traded on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from January 5, 1998 to December 30, 2013. To investigate the dynamical evolution of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-12-19 Tetsuya Takaishi

This work tried to detect the existence of a relationship between the graphic signals - or patterns - observed day by day in the Brazilian stock market and the trends which happen after these signals, within a period of 8 years, for a…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-02-07 Marco Antonio Penteado

This study pioneers the application of the Gai-Kapadia framework, originally developed for interbank contagion, to global equity markets. It offers a novel approach to assess systemic risk and default cascades. Using a 20-asset network (13…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-04-07 Ana I. C. Pereda

Node centrality is one of the most important and widely used concepts in the study of complex networks. Here, we extend the paradigm of node centrality in financial and economic networks to consider the changes of node "importance" produced…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-06-05 Paolo Bartesaghi , Michele Benzi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Ernesto Estrada

This paper uses predictive densities obtained via mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models to evaluate the statistical sustainability of Brazilian inflation targeting system with the tolerance bounds. The probabilities give an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-26 Alain Hecq , Joao Issler , Elisa Voisin

We examine volatility of an Indian stock market in terms of aspects like participation, synchronization of stocks and quantification of volatility using the random matrix approach. Volatility pattern of the market is found using the BSE…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 V. Kulkarni , N. Deo

We study historical correlations and lead-lag relationships between individual stock risk (volatility of daily stock returns) and market risk (volatility of daily returns of a market-representative portfolio) in the US stock market. We…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-09-03 Stanislav S. Borysov , Alexander V. Balatsky

We use rank correlations as distance functions to establish the interconnectivity between stock returns, building weighted signed networks for the stocks of seven European countries, the US and Japan. We establish the theoretical…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-14 E. Ferreira , S. Orbe , J. Ascorbebeitia , B. Álvarez Pereira , E. Estrada

This study analysed a series of live cattle spot and futures prices from the Boi Gordo Index (BGI) in Brazil. The objective was to develop a model that best portrays this commodity's behaviour to estimate futures prices more accurately. The…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-19 R. G. Alcoforado , W. Bernardino , A. D. Egídio dos Reis , J. A. C. Santos

It is well known that there exist statistical and structural differences between the stock markets of developed and emerging countries. In this work, we present an analysis of the variations and autocorrelations of the Mexican Stock Market…

This paper proposes an empirical, replicable, and interpretable framework to decompose, in basis points (bps), daily changes in Brazil's 5-year DI futures rate (DI5Y). The approach combines three building blocks: (i) macroeconomic and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-27 Gabriel de Macedo Santos

In this paper we present a statistical analysis about the characteristics that we intend to influence in the performance of the neural networks in terms of assertiveness in the prediction of Brazilian stock returns. We created a population…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-01-30 Leonardo Felizardo , Afonso Pinto

The total value of domestic market capitalization of the Mexican Stock Exchange was calculated at 520 billion of dollars by the end of November 2013. To manage this system and make optimum capital investments, its dynamics needs to be…

We confirm universal behaviors such as eigenvalue distribution and spacings predicted by Random Matrix Theory (RMT) for the cross correlation matrix of the daily stock prices of Tokyo Stock Exchange from 1993 to 2001, which have been…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Akihiko Utsugi , Kazusumi Ino , Masaki Oshikawa

By using Random Matrix Theory, we build covariance matrices between stocks of the BM&F-Bovespa (Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de S\~ao Paulo) which are cleaned of some of the noise due to the complex interactions between the many…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2014-08-11 Leonidas Sandoval Junior , Adriana Bruscato , Maria Kelly Venezuela

This study extends the Gai-Kapadia framework, originally developed for interbank contagion, to assess systemic risk and default cascades in global equity markets. We analyze a 30 asset network comprising Brazilian and developed market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-23 Ana Isabel Castillo Pereda
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