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We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behavior of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. We propose a set of assumptions dealing with particular situations where the state space can be…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Consider a Markov chain with finite state $\{0, 1, ..., d\}$. We give the generation functions (or Laplace transforms) of absorbing (passage) time in the following two situations : (1) the absorbing time of state $d$ when the chain starts…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-09 Wenming Hong , Ke Zhou

We study the stochastic dynamics of a system of interacting species in a stochastic environment by means of a continuous-time Markov chain with transition rates depending on the state of the environment. Models of gene regulation in systems…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-12-03 Daniele Cappelletti , Abhishek Pal Majumder , Carsten Wiuf

An asymptotic model for extreme behavior of certain Markov chains is the "tail chain". Generally taking the form of a multiplicative random walk, it is useful in deriving extremal characteristics such as point process limits. We place this…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-30 Sidney I. Resnick , David Zeber

We study a discrete time multitype branching random walk on a finite space with finite set of types. Particles follow a Markov chain on the spatial space whereas offspring distributions are given by a random field that is fixed throughout…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-30 Onur Gün , Wolfgang König , Ozren Sekulović

New algorithms for computing of asymptotic expansions for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes are presented. The algorithms are based on special techniques of sequential phase space reduction, which can…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-08 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

We discuss the existence and characterization of quasi-stationary distributions and Yaglom limits of self-similar Markov processes that reach 0 in finite time. By Yaglom limit, we mean the existence of a deterministic function $g$ and a…

概率论 · 数学 2014-01-10 Bénédicte Haas , Víctor Manuel Rivero

We analyze quasi-stationary distributions $\{\mu^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ of a family of Markov chains $\{X^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ that are random perturbations of a bounded, continuous map $F:M\to M$, where $M$ is a…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-16 Mathieu Faure , Sebastian J. Schreiber

We consider the first exit time of a nonnegative Harris-recurrent Markov process from the interval $[0,A]$ as $A\to\infty$. We provide an alternative method of proof of asymptotic exponentiality of the first exit time (suitably…

概率论 · 数学 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We consider a unified framework of sequential change-point detection and hypothesis testing modeled by means of hidden Markov chains. One observes a sequence of random variables whose distributions are functionals of a hidden Markov chain.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-12-13 Savas Dayanik , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We suggest an approach to obtaining general two-sided bounds on the rate of convergence in terms of special "weighted" norms related to total variation. Some important classes of continuous-time Markov chains are considered:…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-15 A. Zeifman , V. Korolev

We consider a Markov chain $(M_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ on the set $\mathbb{N}_{0}$ of nonnegative integers which is eventually decreasing, i.e. $\mathbb{P}\{M_{n+1}<M_{n}|M_{n}\ge a\}=1$ for some $a\in\mathbb{N}$ and all $n\ge 0$. We are interested…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Marynych

Consider a continuous time Markov chain with rates Q in the state space \Lambda\cup\{0\} with 0 as an absorbing state. In the associated Fleming-Viot process N particles evolve independently in \Lambda with rates Q until one of them…

概率论 · 数学 2009-05-12 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari , Pablo Groisman

We start by providing an explicit characterization and analytical properties, including the persistence phenomena, of the distribution of the extinction time $\mathbb{T}$ of a class of non-Markovian self-similar stochastic processes with…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-24 Ronnie Loeffen , Pierre Patie , Mladen Savov

In this paper we study a 2-type linear-fractional branching process in varying environment with asymptotically constant mean matrices. Let $\nu$ be the extinction time and for $k\ge1$ let $M_k$ be the mean matrix of offspring distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-03 Hua-Ming Wang

Asymptotic expansions with explicit upper bounds for remainders are given for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces. The corresponding algorithms are based on a special technique of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-16 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

New algorithms for construction of asymptotic expansions for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces are presented. These algorithms are based on a special technique of sequential…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-16 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of multidimensional birth and death processes, modeling the interaction between several species, absorbed when one of the coordinates hits 0. We study models where the absorption rate is…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We prove that certain asymptotic moments exist for some random distance expanding dynamical systems and Markov chains in random dynamical environment, and compute them in terms of the derivatives at the $0$ of an appropriate pressure…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-05-13 Yeor Hafouta