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相关论文: Global jump filters and realized volatility

200 篇论文

We derive a nonparametric estimator of the jump-activity index $\beta$ of a "locally-stable" pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingale from discrete observations of the process on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-19 Viktor Todorov

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

In this paper, we propose a new jump robust quantile-based realised variance measure of ex-post return variation that can be computed using potentially noisy data. The estimator is consistent for the integrated variance and we present…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-21 Kim Christensen , Roel Oomen , Mark Podolskij

We provide a set of probabilistic laws for estimating the quadratic variation of continuous semimartingales with realized range-based variance -- a statistic that replaces every squared return of realized variance with a normalized squared…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-29 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij

In this study, we develop a deterministic nonlinear filtering algorithm based on a high-dimensional version of Kitagawa (1987) to evaluate the likelihood function of models that allow for stochastic volatility and jumps whose arrival…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-02 Jean-François Bégin , Mathieu Boudreault

For local martingales with nonnegative jumps, we prove a sufficient criterion for the corresponding exponential martingale to be a true martingale. The criterion is in terms of exponential moments of a convex combination of the optional and…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-15 Alexander Sokol

For a multidimensional It\^o semimartingale, we consider the problem of estimating integrated volatility functionals. Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013) studied a plug-in type of estimator based on a Riemann sum approximation of the integrated…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-09 José E. Figueroa-López , Jincheng Pang , Bei Wu

IIn this paper, we study a partially observed progressive optimal control problem of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random jumps, where the control domain is not necessarily convex, and the control variable enter…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-27 Yueyang Zheng , Jingtao Shi

We propose statistical tests to discriminate between the finite and infinite activity of jumps in a semimartingale discretely observed at high frequency. The two statistics allow for a symmetric treatment of the problem: we can either take…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We develop an adaptive jump test for discretely observed high-frequency semimartingales by combining the A"it-Sahalia--Jacod ratio statistic (A"it-Sahalia and Jacod, 2009) and the Lee--Mykland extreme-return statistic (Lee and Mykland,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-22 Huifang Ma , Long Feng

This paper proposes novel tests for the absence of jumps in a univariate semimartingale and for the absence of common jumps in a bivariate semimartingale. Our methods rely on ratio statistics of power variations based on irregular…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-21 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

A well-known It\^o formula for finite dimensional processes, given in terms of stochastic integrals with respect to Wiener processes and Poisson random measures, is revisited and is revised. The revised formula, which corresponds to the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-30 István Gyöngy , Sizhou Wu

We compute and discuss the Esscher martingale transform for exponential processes, the Esscher martingale transform for linear processes, the minimal martingale measure, the class of structure preserving martingale measures, and the minimum…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-10 Friedrich Hubalek , Carlo Sgarra

We consider a square-integrable semimartingale and investigate the convex order relations between its discrete, continuous and predictable quadratic variation. As the main results, we show that if the semimartingale has conditionally…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-10-03 Martin Keller-Ressel , Claus Griessler

We consider specification and inference for the stochastic scale of discretely-observed pure-jump semimartingales with locally stable L\'{e}vy densities in the setting where both the time span of the data set increases, and the mesh of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-25 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

This paper is the first part of a series of papers on filtering for partially observed jump diffusions satisfying a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures. The coefficients of the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-18 Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

Starting from an iterative and hence numerically easily implementable representation of the thin set of jumps of a c\`{a}dl\`{a}g adapted stochastic process $X$ (including a few applications to the integration with respect to the jump…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-11 Frank Oertel

In informationally efficient financial markets, option prices and this implied volatility should immediately be adjusted to new information that arrives along with a jump in underlying's return, whereas gradual changes in implied volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-30 Juho Kanniainen , Martin Magris

We describe a Matlab routine that allows us to estimate the jumps in financial asset prices using the Threshold (or Truncation) method of Mancini (2009). The routine is designed for application to five-minute log-returns. The underlying…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-08-27 Cecilia Mancini