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For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

The filtering distribution is a time-evolving probability distribution on the state of a dynamical system, given noisy observations. We study the large-time asymptotics of this probability distribution for discrete-time, randomly…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-11-25 D. Sanz-Alonso , A. M. Stuart

Different types of two- and three-dimensional representations of a finite metric space are studied that focus on the accurate representation of the linear order among the distances rather than their actual values. Lower and upper bounds for…

组合数学 · 数学 2007-05-23 Jobst Heitzig

The purpose of this letter is to define a distance on the underlying phase space of a chaotic map, based on natural invariant density of the map. It is observed that for logistic map this distance is equivalent to Wootters' statistical…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ramandeep S. Johal

Reachability analysis evaluates system safety, by identifying the set of states a system may evolve within over a finite time horizon. In contrast to model-based reachability analysis, data-driven reachability analysis estimates reachable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-06 Elizabeth Dietrich , Hanna Krasowski , Murat Arcak

A novel approach is suggested for improving the accuracy of fault detection in distribution networks. This technique combines adaptive probability learning and waveform decomposition to optimize the similarity of features. Its objective is…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-03 Xinliang Ma , Weihua Liu , Bingying Jin

Given samples from an unknown distribution $p$, is it possible to distinguish whether $p$ belongs to some class of distributions $\mathcal{C}$ versus $p$ being far from every distribution in $\mathcal{C}$? This fundamental question has…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-12-09 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis , Gautam Kamath

The patterns of motion of mobile agents has received recently wide attention in the literature. There is a number of recent studies centered around the motion behavior of many agents ranging from albatrosses to human beings. Special…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2011-04-26 R. Mansilla

We study the problem of identifying the dynamics of a linear system when one has access to samples generated by a similar (but not identical) system, in addition to data from the true system. We use a weighted least squares approach and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-13 Lei Xin , Lintao Ye , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Policy gradient methods are among the most effective methods in challenging reinforcement learning problems with large state and/or action spaces. However, little is known about even their most basic theoretical convergence properties,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Alekh Agarwal , Sham M. Kakade , Jason D. Lee , Gaurav Mahajan

Quantization for probability distributions refers broadly to estimating a given probability measure by a discrete probability measure supported by a finite number of points. We consider general geometric approaches to quantization using…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-02-11 Joseph Rosenblatt , Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

Wasserstein distances are metrics on probability distributions inspired by the problem of optimal mass transportation. Roughly speaking, they measure the minimal effort required to reconfigure the probability mass of one distribution in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-10 Victor M. Panaretos , Yoav Zemel

To infer the parameters of mechanistic models with intractable likelihoods, techniques such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly being adopted. One of the main disadvantages of ABC in practical situations, however, is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-03 Jonathan U Harrison , Ruth E Baker

Quantum repeaters are envisioned to enable long-distance entanglement distribution. Analysis of quantum-repeater networks could hasten their realization by informing design decisions and research priorities. Determining derivatives of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-08-12 Guus Avis , Stefan Krastanov

We investigate the relations holding among generalized dimensions of invariant measures in dynamical systems and similar quantities defined by the scaling of global averages of powers of return times. Because of a heuristic use of Kac…

动力系统 · 数学 2010-07-07 Giorgio Mantica

Distributed Opportunistic Scheduling (DOS) techniques have been recently proposed to improve the throughput performance of wireless networks. With DOS, each station contends for the channel with a certain access probability. If a contention…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2014-12-16 Andres Garcia-Saavedra , Albert Banchs , Pablo Serrano , Joerg Widmer

A common challenge in computer experiments and related fields is to efficiently explore the input space using a small number of samples, i.e., the experimental design problem. Much of the recent focus in the computer experiment literature,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-01 Boya Zhang , D. Austin Cole , Robert B. Gramacy

The PAC-Bayesian approach is a powerful set of techniques to derive non- asymptotic risk bounds for random estimators. The corresponding optimal distribution of estimators, usually called the Gibbs posterior, is unfortunately intractable.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-16 Pierre Alquier , James Ridgway , Nicolas Chopin

The center of gravity is one of the most frequently used algorithm for position reconstruction with different analytical forms for the noise optimization. The error distributions of the different forms are essential instruments to improve…

仪器与探测器 · 物理学 2020-12-01 Gregorio Landi , Giovanni E. Landi