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Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

The current National Airspace System (NAS) is reaching capacity due to increased air traffic, and is based on outdated pre-tactical planning. This study proposes a more dynamic airspace configuration (DAC) approach that could increase…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-01 Ke Feng , Dahai Liu , Yongxin Liu , Hong Liu , Houbing Song

Making good predictions of a physical system using a computer code requires the inputs to be carefully specified. Some of these inputs called control variables have to reproduce physical conditions whereas other inputs, called parameters,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-04-04 Guillaume Damblin , Pierre Barbillon , Merlin Keller , Alberto Pasanisi , Eric Parent

Chaotic dynamics is widely used to design pseudo-random number generators and for other applications such as secure communications and encryption. This paper aims to study the dynamics of discrete-time chaotic maps in the digital (i.e.,…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2018-12-19 Chengqing Li , Bingbing Feng , Shujun Li , Juergen Kurths , Guanrong Chen

We present a methodology for the study of the dispersion of trajectories of stochastic processes in reconstructed phase spaces from observed data. The methodology allows to find ensembles of analog states, i.e. states that are close in the…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-02-18 Carlos Granero-Belinchon

We study an optimal transportation approach for recovering parameters in dynamical systems with a single smoothly varying attractor. We assume that the data is not sufficient for estimating time derivatives of state variables but enough to…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-04-12 Yunan Yang , Levon Nurbekyan , Elisa Negrini , Robert Martin , Mirjeta Pasha

Diffusions are a successful technique to sample from high-dimensional distributions. The target distribution can be either explicitly given or learnt from a collection of samples. They implement a diffusion process whose endpoint is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Andrea Montanari

Alignment algorithms usually rely on simplified models of gaps for computational efficiency. Based on an isomorphism between alignments and physical helix-coil models, we show in statistical mechanics that alignments with realistic laws for…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2015-06-26 E. Yeramian , E. Debonneuil

The most common way to sample from a probability distribution is to use Monte-Carlo methods. For distributions on a continuous state space, one can find diffusions with the target distribution as equilibrium measure, so that the state of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-28 Chii-Ruey Hwang , Raoul Normand , Sheng-Jhih Wu

Distance metric learning can be viewed as one of the fundamental interests in pattern recognition and machine learning, which plays a pivotal role in the performance of many learning methods. One of the effective methods in learning such a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-21 Mostafa Razavi Ghods , Mohammad Hossein Moattar , Yahya Forghani

The links between optimal control of dynamical systems and neural networks have proved beneficial both from a theoretical and from a practical point of view. Several researchers have exploited these links to investigate the stability of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-02-08 Panos Parpas , Corey Muir

Large deviations in chaotic dynamics have potentially significant and dramatic consequences. We study large deviations of series of finite lengths $N$ generated by chaotic maps. The distributions generally display an exponential decay with…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2022-10-21 Naftali R. Smith

The striking fractal geometry of strange attractors underscores the generative nature of chaos: like probability distributions, chaotic systems can be repeatedly measured to produce arbitrarily-detailed information about the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 William Gilpin

The notion of task similarity is at the core of various machine learning paradigms, such as domain adaptation and meta-learning. Current methods to quantify it are often heuristic, make strong assumptions on the label sets across the tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-10 David Alvarez-Melis , Nicolò Fusi

We present DUAL-LOCO, a communication-efficient algorithm for distributed statistical estimation. DUAL-LOCO assumes that the data is distributed according to the features rather than the samples. It requires only a single round of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-04 Christina Heinze , Brian McWilliams , Nicolai Meinshausen

The increasing recognition of the association between adverse human health conditions and many environmental substances as well as processes has led to the need to monitor them. An important problem that arises in environmental statistics…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-02-05 Yu Wang , Nhu D. Le , James V. Zidek

Current research on robust trajectory planning for autonomous agents aims to mitigate uncertainties arising from disturbances and modeling errors while ensuring guaranteed safety. Existing methods primarily utilize stochastic optimal…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-13 Christian Vitale , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios , Georgios Ellinas

Distribution shifts have long been regarded as troublesome external forces that a decision-maker should either counteract or conform to. An intriguing feedback phenomenon termed decision dependence arises when the deployed decision affects…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-03-11 Zhiyu He , Saverio Bolognani , Florian Dörfler , Michael Muehlebach

We study the problem of designing mechanisms when agents' valuation functions are drawn from unknown and correlated prior distributions. In particular, we are given a prior distribution $\D$, and we are interested in designing a (truthful)…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-10-13 Anuran Makur , Marios Mertzanidis , Alexandros Psomas , Athina Terzoglou

This paper contributes multivariate versions of seven commonly used elastic similarity and distance measures for time series data analytics. Elastic similarity and distance measures are a class of similarity measures that can compensate for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Ahmed Shifaz , Charlotte Pelletier , Francois Petitjean , Geoffrey I. Webb