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We revisit empirical Bayes discrimination detection, focusing on uncertainty arising from both partial identification and sampling variability. While prior work has mostly focused on partial identification, we find that some empirical…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-19 Jiaying Gu , Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Azeem M. Shaikh

Suppose that we are interested in the comparison of two independent categorical variables. Suppose also that the population is divided into subpopulations or groups. Notice that the distribution of the target variable may vary across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-08 M. V. Alba-Fernández , M. D. Jiménez--Gamero , F. J. Ariza-López

As the COVID-19 pandemic progresses, researchers are reporting findings of randomized trials comparing standard care with care augmented by experimental drugs. The trials have small sample sizes, so estimates of treatment effects are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-02 Charles F. Manski , Aleksey Tetenov

This paper is a short extension of our previous paper [arXiv:2004.06033] about the use of the Test-Negative design to study risk factors for COVID-19 [See: PubMed and ArXiv reference below] Reason for the extension is that the conditions…

Health care decisions are increasingly informed by clinical decision support algorithms, but these algorithms may perpetuate or increase racial and ethnic disparities in access to and quality of health care. Further complicating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-28 Solvejg Wastvedt , Joshua Snoke , Denis Agniel , Julie Lai , Marc N. Elliott , Steven C. Martino

Bayesian adaptive designs have gained popularity in all phases of clinical trials with numerous new developments in the past few decades. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the need to establish evidence for the effectiveness of vaccines,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Shirin Golchi

COVID-19, a viral respiratory pandemic, has rapidly spread throughout the globe. Large scale and rapid testing of the population is required to contain the disease, but such testing is prohibitive in terms of resources, cost and time.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-21 Abhishek Srivastava , Anurag Mishra , Trusha Jayant Parekh , Sampreeti Jena

When testing for a disease such as COVID-19, the standard method is individual testing: we take a sample from each individual and test these samples separately. An alternative is pooled testing (or "group testing"), where samples are mixed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-14 Matthew Aldridge , David Ellis

The vast majority of techniques to train fair models require access to the protected attribute (e.g., race, gender), either at train time or in production. However, in many important applications this protected attribute is largely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-04 Hadi Elzayn , Emily Black , Patrick Vossler , Nathanael Jo , Jacob Goldin , Daniel E. Ho

In observational studies of discrimination, the most common statistical approaches consider either the rate at which decisions are made (benchmark tests) or the success rate of those decisions (outcome tests). Both tests, however, have…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Johann D. Gaebler , Sharad Goel

We consider the conditional randomization test as a way to account for covariate imbalance in randomized experiments. The test accounts for covariate imbalance by comparing the observed test statistic to the null distribution of the test…

The test-negative design has become popular for evaluating the effectiveness of post-licensure vaccines using observational data. In addition to its logistical convenience on data collection, the design is also believed to control for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Soumyabrata Kundu , Peng Ding , Jingshu Wang , Xinran Li

Fairness in deep learning models trained with high-dimensional inputs and subjective labels remains a complex and understudied area. Facial emotion recognition, a domain where datasets are often racially imbalanced, can lead to models that…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-10 Alex Fan , Xingshuo Xiao , Peter Washington

We propose a mathematical model based on probability theory to optimize COVID-19 testing by a multi-step batch testing approach with variable batch sizes. This model and simulation tool dramatically increase the efficiency and efficacy of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-11 Hongshik Ahn , Haoran Jiang , Xiaolin Li

We discuss some causal estimands used to study racial discrimination in policing. A central challenge is that not all police-civilian encounters are recorded in administrative datasets and available to researchers. One possible solution is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-16 Qingyuan Zhao , Luke J Keele , Dylan S Small , Marshall M Joffe

Obtaining up to date information on the number of UK COVID-19 regional infections is hampered by the reporting lag in positive test results for people with COVID-19 symptoms. In the UK, for "Pillar 2" swab tests for those showing symptoms,…

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has progressed with varying degrees of intensity in individual countries, suggesting it is important to analyse factors that vary between them. We study measures of `population-weighted density', which capture…

I propose novel partial identification bounds on infection prevalence from information on test rate and test yield. The approach utilizes user-specified bounds on (i) test accuracy and (ii) the extent to which tests are targeted, formalized…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-03 Jörg Stoye

Countries officially record the number of COVID-19 cases based on medical tests of a subset of the population with unknown participation bias. For prevalence estimation, the official information is typically discarded and, instead, small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-25 Stéphane Guerrier , Christoph Kuzmics , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

The wide adoption of AI decision-making systems in critical domains such as criminal justice, loan approval, and hiring processes has heightened concerns about algorithmic fairness. As we often only have access to the output of algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Saeyoung Rho , Junzhe Zhang , Elias Bareinboim