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Stochastic reaction network models arise in intracellular chemical reactions, epidemiological models and other population process models, and are a class of continuous time Markov chains which have the nonnegative integer lattice as state…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-07-26 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

We study the hitting times of Markov processes to target set $G$, starting from a reference configuration $x_0$ or its basin of attraction. The configuration $x_0$ can correspond to the bottom of a (meta)stable well, while the target $G$…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-11 R. Fernandez , F. Manzo , F. R. Nardi , E. Scoppola

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Transitions in the qualitative behavior of chemical reaction dynamics with a decrease in molecule number have attracted much attention. Here, a method based on a Markov process with a tridiagonal transition matrix is applied to the analysis…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2015-02-25 Nen Saito , Kunihiko Kaneko

Let {M_n}_{n\ge 0}$ be a nonnegative Markov process with stationary transition probabilities. The quasistationary distributions referred to in this note are of the form Q_A(x) = lim_{n\to\infty} P(M_n \le x | M_0 \le A, M_1 \le A, ..., M_n…

概率论 · 数学 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander Tartakovsky

Quasistationary states are long-lived nonequilibrium states, observed in some systems with long-range interactions under deterministic Hamiltonian evolution. These intriguing non-Boltzmann states relax to equilibrium over times which…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-03-17 Shamik Gupta , David Mukamel

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusion processes with killing on $[0,\infty)$. We obtain criteria for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-12 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In the modelling of stochastic phenomena, such as quasi-reaction systems, parameter estimation of kinetic rates can be challenging, particularly when the time gap between consecutive measurements is large. Local linear approximation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Matteo Framba , Veronica Vinciotti , Ernst C. Wit

We consider Metropolis Hastings MCMC in cases where the log of the ratio of target distributions is replaced by an estimator. The estimator is based on m samples from an independent online Monte Carlo simulation. Under some conditions on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-06-01 Geoff K. Nicholls , Colin Fox , Alexis Muir Watt

We study a random process with reinforcement, which evolves following the dynamics of a given diffusion process in a bounded domain and is resampled according to its occupation measure when it reaches the boundary. We show that its…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Michel Benaïm , Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In this paper we propose a (sub)distribution-based bisimulation for labelled Markov processes and compare it with earlier definitions of state and event bisimulation, which both only compare states. In contrast to those state-based…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-07-03 Pengfei Yang , David N. Jansen , Lijun Zhang

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

The recently introduced method of excess collisions (MEC) is modified to estimate diffusion-controlled reaction times inside systems of arbitrary size. The resulting MEC-E equations contain a set of empirical parameters, which have to be…

生物物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Holger Merlitz , Konstantin V. Klenin , Chen-Xu Wu , Jörg Langowski

This paper gives foundational results for the application of quasi-stationarity to Monte Carlo inference problems. We prove natural sufficient conditions for the quasi-limiting distribution of a killed diffusion to coincide with a target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-07 Andi Q. Wang , Martin Kolb , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

We develop an efficient method to calculate probabilities of large deviations from the typical behavior (rare events) in reaction--diffusion systems. The method is based on a semiclassical treatment of underlying "quantum" Hamiltonian,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Vlad Elgart , Alex Kamenev

Simple elastic models of spin-crossover compounds are known empirically to exhibit classical critical behavior. We demonstrate how the long-ranged interactions responsible for this behavior arise naturally upon integrating out mechanical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-07-15 Layne B. Frechette , Christoph Dellago , Phillip L. Geissler

Motivated by applications in telecommunications, computer scienceand physics, we consider a discrete-time Markov process withrestart. At each step the process eitherwith a positive probability restarts from a given distribution, orwith the…

性能 · 计算机科学 2017-03-13 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

概率论 · 数学 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour