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We study the qualitative properties of a spatial diffusive heterogeneous SIR model, that appears in mathematical epidemiology to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a population. The model we consider consists in a system of…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-05-15 Romain Ducasse

A network epidemic model is studied. The underlying social network has two different types of group structures, households and workplaces, such that each individual belongs to exactly one household and one workplace. The random network is…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-10 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

Starting from a stochastic individual-based description of an SIS epidemic spreading on a random network, we study the dynamics when the size $n$ of the network tends to infinity. We recover in the limit an infinite-dimensional…

This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptible$\to$infective$\to$removed) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within `households' (which for ease of exposition are assumed to have equal…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-13 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

An SIR epidemic model with free boundary is investigated. This model describes the transmission of diseases. The behavior of positive solutions to a reaction-diffusion system in a radially symmetric domain is investigated. The existence and…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2013-02-05 Kwang Ik Kim , Zhigui Lin , Qunying Zhang

We study the spread of stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemics in two types of structured populations, both consisting of schools and households. In each of the types, every individual is part of one school…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-03-23 Tanneke Ouboter , Ronald Meester , Pieter Trapman

We numerically study the dynamics of the SIR disease model on small-world networks by using a large-deviation approach. This allows us to obtain the probability density function of the total fraction of infected nodes and of the maximum…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-01 Yannick Feld , Alexander K. Hartmann

We present a stochastic model for two successive SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemics in the same network structured population. Individuals infected during the first epidemic might have (partial) immunity for the second one.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-10-29 Frank Ball , Abid Ali Lashari , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

This work is concerned with epidemiological models defined on networks, which highlight the prominent role of the social contact network of a given population in the spread of infectious diseases. In particular, we address the modelling and…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-03-07 Giovanni Naldi , Giuseppe Patane'

We study the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of an infectious disease. In this stochastic process, there are two competing mechanism: infection and recovery. Susceptible individuals may contract the disease…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-05-08 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

In this paper we are concerned with the SIR model with random vertex weights on Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph $G(n,p)$. The Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph $G(n,p)$ is generated from the complete graph $C_n$ with $n$ vertices through independently…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-28 Xiaofeng Xue

In this paper we propose a Stochastic model for studying a spatial cholera epidemic spreading where communities (Humans and Bacteria) are spatially distributed on a one-dimensional lattice and the bacteria are transported along a network…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-23 Boris Kouegou Kamen , Mac Jugal Nguepedja Nankep

The spread of an epidemic process is considered in the context of a spatial SIR stochastic model that includes a parameter $0\le p\le 1$ that assigns weights $p$ and $1- p$ to global and local infective contacts respectively. The model was…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-01-29 Gabriel Fabricius , Alberto Maltz

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

Power-law scalings are ubiquitous to physical phenomena undergoing a continuous phase transition. The classic Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemics is one such example where the scaling behavior near a critical point has…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-06-18 Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers

We study the susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly subject to having given vertex degrees. In this model infective vertices infect each of their susceptible neighbours, and recover, at a constant…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-24 Svante Janson , Malwina Luczak , Peter Windridge

In modeling parasitic diseases, it is natural to distinguish hosts according to the number of parasites that they carry, leading to a countably infinite type space. Proving the analogue of the deterministic equations, used in models with…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-16 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

We consider a stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic defined on a configuration model random graph, in which infective individuals can infect only their neighbours in the graph during an infectious period…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-10 Frank Ball

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane