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We give a scheme of using the coupling method to obtain strong bounds for the convergence rate of the distribution of the backward renewal process in the total variation distance. This scheme can be applied to a wide class of regenerative…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-06 G. A. Zverkina

In this paper, we consider an age-structured jump model that arises as a description of continuous time random walks with infinite mean waiting time between jumps. We prove that under a suitable rescaling, this equation converges in the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2026-01-14 Hugues Berry , Pierre Gabriel , Thomas Lepoutre , Nathan Quiblier

This note investigates cover levels of finite sets in the random interlacements model introduced in [Ann. of Math. (2) 171 (2010) 2039-2087], that is, the least level such that the set is completely contained in the random interlacement at…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-25 David Belius

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

In this paper we address the complexity of solving linear programming problems with a set of differential equations that converge to a fixed point that represents the optimal solution. Assuming a probabilistic model, where the inputs are…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Asa Ben-Hur , Joshua Feinberg , Shmuel Fishman , Hava T. Siegelmann

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

The problem of estimating the probability of a random process reaching a certain level is well known. In this article, two-sided estimates are established for the probability that a regenerative process reaches a high level. Two auxiliary…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-29 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak , Oleg Zakusylo

Given an inverse problem with a normalizing flow prior, we wish to estimate the distribution of the underlying signal conditioned on the observations. We approach this problem as a task of conditional inference on the pre-trained…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-16 Jay Whang , Erik M. Lindgren , Alexandros G. Dimakis

Let (X_n,Y_n) be i.i.d. random vectors. Let W(x) be the partial sum of Y_n just before that of X_n exceeds x>0. Motivated by stochastic models for neural activity, uniform convergence of the form $\sup_{c\in I}|a(c,x)\operatorname…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Zhiyi Chi

We consider the problem of calculating learning curves (i.e., average generalization performance) of Gaussian processes used for regression. On the basis of a simple expression for the generalization error, in terms of the eigenvalue…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Peter Sollich , Anason Halees

In this paper we prove a sharp quantitative version of the Kendall's Theorem. The Kendal Theorem states that under some mild conditions imposed on a probability distribution on positive integers (i.e. probabilistic sequence) one can prove…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-09 Witold Bednorz

Aleatoric uncertainty is an intrinsic property of ill-posed inverse and imaging problems. Its quantification is vital for assessing the reliability of relevant point estimates. In this paper, we propose an efficient framework for…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-16 Chen Zhang , Bangti Jin

A class of discrete renewal processes with super-exponentially decaying inter-arrival distributions coincides with the infinite volume limit of general homogeneous pinning models in their localized phase. Pinning models are statistical…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-05 Giambattista Giacomin

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

In this paper, we study a multidimensional risk model with a common renewal process and in the presence of a constant interest force. The claim sizes are independent and identically distributed random vectors, with the distribution of…

We generalize standard credal set models for imprecise probabilities to include higher order credal sets -- confidences about confidences. In doing so, we specify how an agent's higher order confidences (credal sets) update upon observing…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-20 Justus Hibshman , Tim Weninger

Almost all scientific data have uncertainties originating from different sources. Gaussian process regression (GPR) models are a natural way to model data with Gaussian-distributed uncertainties. GPR also has the benefit of reducing I/O…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Haoyu Li , Isaac J Michaud , Ayan Biswas , Han-Wei Shen

Multilevel methods represent a powerful approach in numerical solution of partial differential equations. The multilevel structure can also be used to construct estimates for total and algebraic errors of computed approximations. This paper…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-13 Petr Vacek , Jan Papež , Zdeněk Strakoš

A class of discrete distributions can be derived from stationary renewal processes. They have the useful property that the mean is a simple function of the model parameters. Thus regressions of the distribution mean on covariates can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-01 Rose Baker

We consider the variational inequality problem over the intersection of fixed point sets of firmly nonexpansive operators. In order to solve the problem, we present an algorithm and subsequently show the strong convergence of the generated…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-30 Mootta Prangprakhon , Nimit Nimana , Narin Petrot