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This PhD Thesis presents an investigation into the analysis of financial returns using mixture models, focusing on mixtures of generalized normal distributions (MGND) and their extensions. The study addresses several critical issues…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-20 Pierdomenico Duttilo

We review the fuzzy approach to poverty measurement by comparing poverty indices using different membership functions proposed in the literature. We put our main focus on the issue of estimation of the mean squared errors of these fuzzy…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Fderico Crescenzi , Lorenzo Mori

In normal times, it is assumed that financial institutions operating in non-overlapping sectors have complementary and distinct outcomes, typically reflected in mostly uncorrelated outcomes and asset returns. Such is the reasoning behind…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-19 Sayuj Choudhari , Richard Licheng Zhu

We propose an observation-driven modeling framework that allows model parameters to vary over time through an implicit score-driven (ISD) update. The ISD update maximizes the logarithmic observation density with respect to the parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

In a series of precedent papers, we have presented a comprehensive methodology, termed Field Economics, for translating a standard economic model into a statistical field-formalism framework. This formalism requires a large number of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-20 Pierre Gosselin , Aïleen Lotz

Using a panel payment system dataset of thirty-three provinces in Indonesia, we examine the impact of digital payment on the regional economy, considering structural breaks induced by unprecedented events and policies. Digital payments were…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-05 Wishnu Badrawani , Citra Amanda , Novi Maryaningsih , Carla Sheila Wulandari

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-06-04 Sebastian Heise , Reimer Kuehn

Mainly through regression discontinuity designs, Khanna (2023a) studies the impacts of a primary schooling expansion in India in the 1990s. Absent from the data set are four districts close to the modeled treatment discontinuity.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-04 David Roodman

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

We consider models of financial markets in which all parties involved find incentives to participate. Strategies are evaluated directly by their virtual wealths. By tuning the price sensitivity and market impact, a phase diagram with…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 C. H. Yeung , K. Y. Michael Wong , Y. -C. Zhang

The control and managing of power demand and supply become very crucial because of penetration of renewables in the electricity networks and energy demand increase in residential and commercial sectors. In this paper, a new approach is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-28 Seyyed Danial Nazemi , Khashayar Mahani , Ali Ghofrani , Burcu Ece Kose , Mahraz Amini , Mohsen A. Jafari

In contrast to the rapid digitalization of several industries, agriculture suffers from low adoption of smart farming tools. While AI-driven digital agriculture tools can offer high-performing predictive functionalities, they lack tangible…

Financial markets are integral to a country's economic success, yet their complex nature raises challenging issues for predicting their behaviors. There is a growing demand for an integrated system that explores the vast and diverse data in…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-10 Ali Abrishami , Jafar Habibi , AmirAli Jarrahi , Dariush Amiri , MohammadAmin Fazli

A negative basis trade enters a long bond position and buys protection on the issuer of the bond through credit default swap (CDS), aiming at arbitrage profit due to the bond-CDS basis. To classic reduced form model theorists, the existence…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2020-05-05 Wujiang Lou

We investigate the sources of variability in agricultural production and their relative importance in the context of weather index insurance for smallholder farmers in India. Using parcel-level panel data, multilevel modeling, and Bayesian…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-04 Jeffrey D. Michler , Frederi G. Viens , Gerald E. Shively

The effectiveness of farmer loan policies is crucial for the high-quality development of agriculture and the orderly advancement of the rural revitalization strategy. Exploring the impact of farmers' borrowing behavior on agricultural…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-04 Hambur Wang

New generation electricity network called Smart Grid is a recently conceived vision for a cleaner, more efficient and cheaper electricity system. One of the major challenges of electricity network is that generation and consumption should…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-08-02 Lorant Kovacs , Rajmund Drenyovszki , Andras Olah , Janos Levendovszky , Kalman Tornai , Istvan Pinter

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between development finance institutions (DFIs), foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic development in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 1990 to 2018, using a quantitative panel dataset of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-21 Carmen Berta C. De Saituma Cagiza , Ilidio Cagiza

The performance in higher secondary school education in India is a turning point in the academic lives of all students. As this academic performance is influenced by many factors, it is essential to develop predictive data mining model for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-02-08 M. Ramaswami , R. Bhaskaran

This study investigates the impact of increased debt servicing costs on household consumption resulting from monetary policy tightening. It utilizes observational panel microdata on all mortgage holders in Israel and leverages…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-04 Itamar Caspi , Nadav Eshel , Nimrod Segev
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